New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc.

DB:N1UA Stock Report

Market Cap: €12.5b

New Oriental Education & Technology Group Valuation

Is N1UA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of N1UA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: N1UA (€75.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€167.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: N1UA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for N1UA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

N1UA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA21.2x
PEG Ratio1.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does N1UA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for N1UA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.5x
PSON Pearson
17.3x7.1%UK£6.6b
7.6x14.2%€3.4b
BFAM Bright Horizons Family Solutions
81.7x46.1%US$6.0b
LOPE Grand Canyon Education
19.5x7.5%US$3.9b
N1UA New Oriental Education & Technology Group
43x26.3%€13.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: N1UA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the peer average (31.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does N1UA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: N1UA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (17.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is N1UA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

N1UA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio43x
Fair PE Ratio29.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: N1UA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst N1UA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€75.50
€90.03
+19.2%
14.6%€105.34€57.80n/a22
Apr ’25€79.00
€91.89
+16.3%
16.9%€113.58€47.48n/a22
Mar ’25€88.50
€87.22
-1.5%
16.9%€112.87€47.19n/a22
Feb ’25€72.00
€85.40
+18.6%
16.1%€104.88€46.92n/a21
Jan ’25€63.00
€73.13
+16.1%
16.1%€90.85€42.46n/a21
Dec ’24€75.00
€71.15
-5.1%
15.4%€89.32€42.84n/a20
Nov ’24€61.50
€72.14
+17.3%
16.1%€92.60€44.41n/a18
Oct ’24€55.00
€61.16
+11.2%
15.5%€80.48€34.08n/a18
Sep ’24€53.50
€57.30
+7.1%
18.3%€78.57€33.28n/a18
Aug ’24€51.00
€55.33
+8.5%
19.3%€77.10€32.66n/a16
Jul ’24€36.00
€47.69
+32.5%
23.4%€64.13€21.99n/a16
Jun ’24€38.20
€47.62
+24.7%
23.9%€65.00€22.29n/a15
May ’24€40.60
€45.80
+12.8%
23.9%€63.86€21.90€72.5014
Apr ’24€35.00
€44.61
+27.4%
23.0%€60.95€22.50€79.0013
Mar ’24€38.20
€44.21
+15.7%
22.9%€60.21€22.23€88.5013
Feb ’24€40.80
€42.61
+4.4%
22.7%€60.00€22.15€72.0013
Jan ’24€33.40
€34.80
+4.2%
21.0%€50.43€22.41€63.0014
Dec ’23€26.60
€36.63
+37.7%
19.0%€54.66€24.29€75.0014
Nov ’23€25.20
€36.63
+45.4%
19.0%€54.66€24.29€61.5014
Oct ’23€24.20
€34.04
+40.6%
20.6%€53.76€23.89€55.0015
Sep ’23€27.40
€34.04
+24.2%
20.6%€53.76€23.89€53.5015
Aug ’23€25.20
€30.75
+22.0%
27.8%€52.65€18.14€51.0015
Jul ’23€19.30
€22.39
+16.0%
31.3%€39.15€11.12€36.0012
Jun ’23€11.80
€19.20
+62.7%
29.0%€31.19€10.65€38.2012
May ’23€11.90
€21.08
+77.1%
29.2%€33.19€10.62€40.6013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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