Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited

DB:MAS Stock Report

Market Cap: €2.6b

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Valuation

Is MAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MAS (€5.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€15.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MAS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MAS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MAS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MAS's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
TIMA ZEAL Network
6.5x12.9%€753.7m
EMH pferdewetten.de
3.2x25.9%€63.8m
0.2x4.3%€3.4b
DHER Delivery Hero
0.8x9.7%€8.2b
MAS Melco Resorts & Entertainment
0.7x11.1%€2.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a67.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a67.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MAS's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MAS PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.7x
Fair PS Ratio1.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: MAS is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.80
€10.24
+76.6%
18.6%€14.08€7.70n/a14
Apr ’25€6.60
€10.47
+58.6%
19.3%€13.90€7.69n/a13
Mar ’25€6.50
€10.63
+63.5%
16.7%€13.84€8.49n/a13
Feb ’25€7.40
€10.92
+47.6%
15.7%€13.80€7.91n/a13
Jan ’25€7.90
€11.05
+39.9%
14.5%€13.58€7.79n/a13
Dec ’24€6.25
€11.79
+88.7%
19.6%€16.11€7.83n/a11
Nov ’24€7.45
€15.49
+107.9%
14.5%€18.88€12.37n/a11
Oct ’24€9.25
€15.35
+65.9%
18.4%€18.72€9.08n/a12
Sep ’24€10.30
€15.24
+48.0%
17.7%€18.43€8.94n/a13
Aug ’24€12.00
€15.02
+25.2%
17.1%€18.12€8.83n/a13
Jul ’24€11.10
€14.90
+34.2%
17.4%€17.87€8.89n/a12
Jun ’24€10.30
€14.89
+44.5%
17.6%€18.39€9.01n/a13
May ’24€12.30
€13.78
+12.1%
27.2%€18.07€4.20n/a13
Apr ’24€11.60
€13.71
+18.1%
27.4%€18.16€4.26€6.6013
Mar ’24€12.80
€13.16
+2.8%
32.1%€18.57€4.31€6.5014
Feb ’24€12.40
€12.26
-1.1%
31.7%€18.24€4.24€7.4014
Jan ’24€10.30
€9.42
-8.6%
31.8%€13.18€4.33€7.9014
Dec ’23€8.20
€8.83
+7.7%
30.0%€13.02€4.37€6.2514
Nov ’23€6.20
€9.01
+45.3%
34.3%€13.51€4.67€7.4514
Oct ’23€6.60
€8.82
+33.6%
36.5%€13.57€4.69€9.2514
Sep ’23€5.20
€8.86
+70.4%
35.6%€13.35€4.62€10.3015
Aug ’23€4.88
€9.60
+96.7%
33.5%€14.79€4.54€12.0015
Jul ’23€5.30
€9.40
+77.3%
32.7%€14.19€4.35€11.1015
Jun ’23€5.15
€9.44
+83.3%
31.3%€13.98€4.29€10.3015
May ’23€5.40
€10.92
+102.2%
20.3%€13.82€6.45€12.3015
Apr ’23€6.80
€11.99
+76.3%
15.7%€16.57€8.60€11.6015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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