Organization of Football Prognostics S.A.

DB:GF8 Stock Report

Market Cap: €5.6b

Organization of Football Prognostics Valuation

Is GF8 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GF8 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GF8 (€15.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€20.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GF8 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GF8?

Key metric: As GF8 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GF8. This is calculated by dividing GF8's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GF8's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.3x
Earnings€452.68m
Market Cap€5.56b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GF8's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GF8 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.7x
TIMA ZEAL Network
22.6x-12.6%€1.1b
8.5x16.1%€4.3b
BYD Boyd Gaming
12.7x5.1%US$6.3b
TLC Lottery
27.1x4.4%AU$11.2b
GF8 Organization of Football Prognostics
12.3x4.3%€5.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GF8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GF8's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
GF8 12.3xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies16PE01224364860+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GF8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GF8's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GF8 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio24.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GF8 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GF8 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.35
€18.63
+21.3%
8.2%€21.50€15.70n/a8
Dec ’25€15.47
€18.63
+20.4%
8.2%€21.50€15.70n/a8
Nov ’25€15.75
€18.61
+18.2%
6.9%€21.00€16.20n/a8
Oct ’25€15.77
€18.41
+16.7%
6.9%€20.00€16.20n/a9
Sep ’25€15.77
€18.38
+16.5%
7.3%€20.00€15.90n/a9
Aug ’25€15.72
€18.38
+16.9%
7.3%€20.00€15.90n/a9
Jul ’25€14.90
€18.25
+22.5%
7.5%€20.00€15.90n/a8
Jun ’25€14.84
€18.25
+23.0%
7.5%€20.00€15.90n/a8
May ’25€15.81
€18.29
+15.7%
7.9%€20.00€15.90n/a7
Apr ’25€16.20
€18.30
+13.0%
9.8%€20.00€15.00n/a7
Mar ’25€17.19
€17.80
+3.5%
9.0%€20.00€15.00n/a8
Feb ’25€15.87
€17.80
+12.2%
9.0%€20.00€15.00n/a8
Jan ’25€15.10
€17.80
+17.9%
9.0%€20.00€15.00n/a8
Dec ’24€14.99
€17.61
+17.5%
8.0%€20.00€15.00€15.478
Nov ’24€15.75
€17.60
+11.7%
7.4%€20.00€15.70€15.7510
Oct ’24€15.52
€17.57
+13.2%
7.8%€20.00€15.70€15.779
Sep ’24€15.58
€17.52
+12.5%
7.8%€20.00€15.70€15.779
Aug ’24€15.85
€17.23
+8.7%
6.8%€20.00€15.70€15.729
Jul ’24€15.73
€17.23
+9.6%
6.8%€20.00€15.70€14.909
Jun ’24€15.91
€17.18
+8.0%
3.4%€18.00€16.40€14.848
May ’24€15.38
€17.01
+10.6%
3.9%€18.00€16.00€15.818
Apr ’24€14.83
€16.85
+13.6%
3.5%€18.00€16.00€16.208
Mar ’24€15.37
€16.50
+7.4%
4.8%€18.00€15.00€17.198
Feb ’24€13.67
€16.30
+19.2%
3.7%€16.90€15.00€15.877
Jan ’24€13.03
€16.15
+23.9%
8.8%€18.30€13.20€15.108
Dec ’23€13.10
€16.15
+23.3%
8.8%€18.30€13.20€14.998

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 01:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Organization of Football Prognostics S.A. is covered by 27 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Bérénice LacroixAlphaValue
Manos ChatzidakisBeta Securities S.A.
Roberta CiacciaBNP Paribas Exane