Six Flags Entertainment Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 6FE0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

6FE0 (€43) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€54.45)

Is 6FE0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6FE0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6FE0 (€43) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€54.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6FE0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6FE0?

Key metric: As 6FE0 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 6FE0. This is calculated by dividing 6FE0's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 6FE0's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.9x
Sales	US$2.39b
Market Cap	US$4.56b

6FE0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	14.3x
PEG Ratio	2.2x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6FE0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6FE0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.2x
TUI1 TUI	0.2x	3.8%	€3.8b
DHER Delivery Hero	1x	11.1%	€11.1b
TIMA ZEAL Network	6.2x	12.9%	€935.6m
NHB0 Nebelhornbahn-Aktiengesellschaft	1.5x	n/a	€22.2m
6FE0 Six Flags Entertainment	1.9x	11.5%	€4.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6FE0 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 6FE0's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
MS1 Marley Spoon Group	0.07x	10.0%	US$13.85m
9UX Hostmore	0.0006x	n/a	US$138.43k

No more companies available in this PS range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6FE0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6FE0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6FE0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.9x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 6FE0's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6FE0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€43.00	€51.77 +20.4%	10.2%	€61.37	€41.54	n/a	12
Nov ’25	€36.00	€50.22 +39.5%	10.6%	€59.98	€39.68	n/a	12
Oct ’25	€35.80	€52.79 +47.5%	11.0%	€60.32	€38.71	n/a	11
Sep ’25	€39.40	€54.37 +38.0%	9.2%	€61.37	€43.96	n/a	11
Aug ’25	€44.10	€61.08 +38.5%	7.2%	€71.11	€57.26	n/a	7
Jul ’25	n/a	€55.88 0%	8.3%	€60.53	€51.22	n/a	2
Jan ’25	n/a	€43.22 0%	7.4%	€46.40	€40.04	n/a	2
Dec ’24	n/a	€44.25 0%	5.4%	€47.02	€40.56	n/a	5
Nov ’24	n/a	€45.14 0%	10.1%	€52.99	€37.85	€36.00	10
Oct ’24	n/a	€45.62 0%	9.4%	€54.22	€39.27	€35.80	10
Sep ’24	n/a	€45.06 0%	8.8%	€53.33	€39.54	€39.40	10
Aug ’24	n/a	€45.20 0%	13.6%	€55.47	€37.29	€44.10	10
Jul ’24	n/a	€48.49 0%	9.5%	€57.08	€41.17	n/a	11
Jun ’24	n/a	€48.49 0%	9.5%	€57.08	€41.17	n/a	11
May ’24	n/a	€49.06 0%	9.4%	€55.65	€41.05	n/a	9
Apr ’24	n/a	€50.81 0%	9.9%	€57.54	€42.44	n/a	8
Mar ’24	n/a	€50.81 0%	9.9%	€57.54	€42.44	n/a	8
Feb ’24	n/a	€46.58 0%	11.6%	€54.03	€38.19	n/a	8
Jan ’24	n/a	€49.68 0%	11.6%	€58.21	€41.15	n/a	8
Dec ’23	n/a	€49.68 0%	11.6%	€58.21	€41.15	n/a	8
Nov ’23	n/a	€55.04 0%	16.8%	€68.83	€41.50	n/a	8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.