Gaotu Techedu Valuation

Is 18WA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 18WA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 18WA (€1.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€25.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 18WA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 18WA?

Key metric: As 18WA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 18WA. This is calculated by dividing 18WA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 18WA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesCN¥3.93b
Market CapCN¥3.93b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 18WA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 18WA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
123F 123fahrschule
0.6x11.7%€13.5m
IFA LS Invest
2.2xn/a€281.3m
9JK International School Augsburg -ISA- gemeinnützige
0.5x6.7%€3.2m
TIMA ZEAL Network
6.9x12.7%€1.0b
18WA Gaotu Techedu
1x29.1%€536.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 18WA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 18WA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
18WA 1.0xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies10PS012345+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 18WA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Consumer Services industry average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 18WA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

18WA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio2.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 18WA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 18WA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.96
€4.06
+107.3%
28.0%€5.92€1.86n/a7
Jan ’26€2.06
€4.06
+97.3%
28.0%€5.92€1.86n/a7
Dec ’25€2.66
€4.56
+71.3%
20.2%€5.81€2.75n/a6
Nov ’25€2.72
€4.55
+67.3%
20.3%€5.71€2.70n/a7
Oct ’25€3.42
€4.67
+36.4%
21.3%€6.03€2.66n/a8
Sep ’25€2.80
€5.15
+83.9%
30.1%€8.29€2.66n/a8
Aug ’25€4.10
€8.14
+98.6%
19.7%€11.35€6.04n/a8
Jul ’25€4.32
€8.14
+88.5%
19.7%€11.35€6.04n/a8
Jun ’25€5.10
€8.14
+59.7%
19.7%€11.35€6.04n/a8
May ’25€6.20
€8.31
+34.0%
19.7%€11.52€6.16n/a7
Apr ’25€5.95
€8.16
+37.2%
21.1%€11.28€6.03n/a6
Mar ’25€7.00
€7.51
+7.3%
36.1%€11.39€2.72n/a6
Feb ’25€2.98
€3.85
+29.3%
22.3%€5.42€2.71n/a6
Jan ’25€3.12
€3.06
-1.8%
35.0%€5.05€2.12€2.066
Dec ’24€2.30
€2.80
+21.7%
24.7%€3.93€2.10€2.666
Nov ’24€2.10
€3.86
+83.6%
41.3%€5.71€1.20€2.725
Oct ’24€2.42
€3.86
+59.3%
41.3%€5.71€1.20€3.425
Sep ’24€2.60
€3.86
+48.3%
41.3%€5.71€1.20€2.805
Aug ’24€3.68
€3.97
+8.0%
43.8%€5.87€1.13€4.105
Jul ’24€2.60
€4.16
+60.0%
43.9%€6.16€1.18€4.325
Jun ’24€2.14
€3.79
+77.2%
44.4%€5.71€1.18€5.104
May ’24€2.70
€3.73
+38.1%
43.7%€5.59€1.18€6.204
Apr ’24€3.86
€3.57
-7.5%
52.1%€5.77€1.22€5.953
Mar ’24€3.16
€2.96
-6.2%
44.4%€4.41€1.22€7.003
Feb ’24€3.55
€2.29
-35.4%
55.8%€4.09€1.23€2.983
Jan ’24€2.37
€2.29
-3.6%
55.3%€4.06€1.21€3.123

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/07 02:07
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/07 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Gaotu Techedu Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Paul Robert DewberryBofA Global Research
Yishan LiChina Merchants Securities (HK) Co., Ltd
Yiwen ZhangChina Renaissance Securities