Scandic Hotels Group AB (publ)

DB:10H Stock Report

Market Cap: €968.8m

Scandic Hotels Group Valuation

Is 10H undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 10H when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 10H (€4.88) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€17.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 10H is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 10H?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

10H key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.6x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 10H's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 10H vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.6x
7.8x14.2%€3.4b
TIMA ZEAL Network
58.7x30.1%€753.7m
TH Target Hospitality
6.4x-54.1%US$1.1b
PLAG Plava laguna d.d
17.6xn/a€821.1m
10H Scandic Hotels Group
22.1x25.2%€11.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 10H is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 10H's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 10H is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 10H's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

10H PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.1x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 10H is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 10H forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.88
€4.78
-2.1%
25.5%€6.42€3.17n/a6
Apr ’25€5.32
€4.95
-6.9%
23.9%€6.69€3.30n/a6
Mar ’25€4.66
€4.95
+6.3%
23.9%€6.69€3.30n/a6
Feb ’25€4.25
€4.36
+2.7%
24.5%€6.27€3.00n/a5
Jan ’25€4.14
€4.17
+0.5%
25.3%€6.12€3.02n/a5
Dec ’24€3.73
€4.00
+7.4%
25.7%€5.95€2.93n/a5
Nov ’24€3.13
€3.91
+25.1%
26.1%€5.85€2.88n/a5
Oct ’24€3.11
€3.98
+28.1%
25.4%€5.89€2.94n/a5
Sep ’24€2.95
€3.96
+34.4%
25.7%€5.91€2.95n/a5
Aug ’24€3.51
€3.96
+12.8%
25.7%€5.91€2.95n/a5
Jul ’24€3.57
€3.77
+5.5%
24.3%€5.55€2.90n/a5
Jun ’24€3.31
€3.82
+15.2%
25.6%€5.73€3.00n/a5
May ’24€3.18
€3.82
+20.0%
25.6%€5.73€3.00n/a5
Apr ’24€3.06
€3.80
+24.3%
26.2%€5.76€3.02€5.325
Mar ’24€3.14
€3.88
+23.5%
26.2%€5.88€3.08€4.665
Feb ’24€3.33
€3.87
+16.1%
22.5%€5.48€3.05€4.255
Jan ’24€2.84
€3.92
+37.7%
21.4%€5.61€2.85€4.146
Dec ’23€3.21
€3.97
+23.5%
20.8%€5.56€2.82€3.736
Nov ’23€3.19
€3.90
+22.4%
21.8%€5.59€2.84€3.136
Oct ’23€2.91
€4.04
+38.5%
21.5%€5.70€2.90€3.116
Sep ’23€3.48
€4.25
+22.0%
20.6%€5.85€2.97€2.956
Aug ’23€3.93
€4.25
+8.1%
20.6%€5.85€2.97€3.516
Jul ’23€3.61
€4.13
+14.6%
20.6%€5.71€2.90€3.576
Jun ’23€3.76
€3.96
+5.3%
15.2%€4.91€2.93€3.316
May ’23€3.70
€4.16
+12.6%
17.0%€5.00€2.98€3.186
Apr ’23€4.11
€3.90
-5.0%
20.0%€4.90€2.92€3.066

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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