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Investors in Delivery Hero (ETR:DHER) from three years ago are still down 79%, even after 16% gain this past week
Delivery Hero SE (ETR:DHER) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 28% in the last month. But the last three years have seen a terrible decline. In that time the share price has melted like a snowball in the desert, down 79%. So it sure is nice to see a bit of an improvement. The thing to think about is whether the business has really turned around.
The recent uptick of 16% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Delivery Hero
Delivery Hero isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In the last three years, Delivery Hero saw its revenue grow by 38% per year, compound. That is faster than most pre-profit companies. So on the face of it we're really surprised to see the share price down 21% a year in the same time period. The share price makes us wonder if there is an issue with profitability. Ultimately, revenue growth doesn't amount to much if the business can't scale well. Unless the balance sheet is strong, the company might have to raise capital.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Delivery Hero is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. If you are thinking of buying or selling Delivery Hero stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Delivery Hero had a tough year, with a total loss of 28%, against a market gain of about 9.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 8% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Delivery Hero , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on German exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:DHER
High growth potential and fair value.