Stock Analysis

How Much Did bet-at-home.com's(ETR:ACX) Shareholders Earn From Share Price Movements Over The Last Three Years?

XTRA:ACX
Source: Shutterstock

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the bet-at-home.com AG (ETR:ACX) share price up 26% in a single quarter. But that doesn't help the fact that the three year return is less impressive. After all, the share price is down 60% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

See our latest analysis for bet-at-home.com

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

bet-at-home.com saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.3% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 26% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past. The less favorable sentiment is reflected in its current P/E ratio of 9.84.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
XTRA:ACX Earnings Per Share Growth January 27th 2021

We know that bet-at-home.com has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for bet-at-home.com the TSR over the last 3 years was -49%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Investors in bet-at-home.com had a tough year, with a total loss of 23% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 8.9%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - bet-at-home.com has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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