The Gym Group plc

BST:4GY Stock Report

Market Cap: €328.9m

Gym Group Valuation

Is 4GY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4GY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4GY (€1.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4GY is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4GY?

Key metric: As 4GY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 4GY. This is calculated by dividing 4GY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 4GY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.3x
SalesUK£216.30m
Market CapUK£272.73m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 4GY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 4GY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
NHB0 Nebelhornbahn-Aktiengesellschaft
1.5xn/a€21.6m
RGB Regenbogen
0.5xn/a€11.7m
EAD Erlebnis Akademie
0.3x0.5%€7.2m
HTG HomeToGo
1.2x12.9%€239.7m
4GY Gym Group
1.3x8.6%€272.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 4GY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 4GY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
9UX Hostmore
0.0006xn/aUS$138.43k
No more companies available in this PS range
4GY 1.3xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies4PS00.61.21.82.43+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 4GY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the European Hospitality industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4GY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4GY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 4GY is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4GY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.64
€2.29
+39.7%
10.9%€2.72€1.76n/a10
Dec ’25€1.87
€2.25
+20.2%
10.9%€2.69€1.73n/a10
Nov ’25€1.81
€2.25
+24.2%
10.9%€2.69€1.73n/a10
Oct ’25€1.86
€2.25
+21.0%
10.6%€2.68€1.73n/a9
Sep ’25€1.63
€2.16
+32.5%
11.3%€2.64€1.70n/a9
Aug ’25€1.69
€2.14
+26.9%
16.3%€2.67€1.31n/a9
Jul ’25€1.27
€1.97
+54.9%
20.3%€2.65€1.29n/a8
Jun ’25€1.43
€1.97
+37.6%
20.3%€2.65€1.29n/a8
May ’25€1.27
€1.94
+52.9%
21.8%€2.62€1.28n/a7
Apr ’25€1.31
€1.94
+48.1%
22.6%€2.63€1.29n/a7
Mar ’25€1.24
€1.92
+55.2%
22.6%€2.61€1.28n/a7
Feb ’25€1.22
€1.92
+57.8%
22.6%€2.61€1.28n/a7
Jan ’25€1.18
€1.90
+61.3%
22.7%€2.59€1.27€1.787
Dec ’24€1.13
€1.89
+67.7%
22.7%€2.58€1.26€1.877
Nov ’24€1.05
€1.89
+80.5%
22.7%€2.58€1.26€1.817
Oct ’24€1.25
€1.88
+50.5%
24.5%€2.60€1.27€1.866
Sep ’24€1.26
€1.88
+49.0%
24.5%€2.60€1.27€1.636
Aug ’24€1.12
€1.88
+67.7%
24.5%€2.60€1.27€1.696
Jul ’24€1.04
€1.99
+91.7%
20.4%€2.59€1.33€1.275
Jun ’24€1.11
€1.99
+79.6%
20.4%€2.59€1.33€1.435
May ’24€1.17
€2.06
+75.9%
22.2%€2.56€1.31€1.275
Apr ’24€1.03
€2.06
+99.9%
22.2%€2.56€1.31€1.315
Mar ’24€1.36
€2.22
+63.2%
14.7%€2.70€1.79€1.247
Feb ’24€1.44
€2.25
+55.9%
14.7%€2.73€1.81€1.227
Jan ’24€1.15
€2.54
+121.2%
16.8%€3.12€1.82€1.187

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 05:48
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Gym Group plc is covered by 12 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard TaylorBarclays
Jack CummingsBerenberg
Robert ChantryBerenberg