Malibu Boats Valuation

Is M05 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of M05 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: M05 (€35.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€90.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: M05 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for M05?

Key metric: As M05 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for M05. This is calculated by dividing M05's market cap by their current revenue.
What is M05's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1x
SalesUS$744.79m
Market CapUS$737.94m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does M05's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for M05 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
TNIE tonies
2x20.0%€804.9m
ZPF Zapf Creation
3.1xn/a€199.4m
H9Y HanseYachts
0.1xn/a€25.9m
ULC UNITEDLABELS
0.6x12.4%€12.1m
M05 Malibu Boats
1x9.1%€737.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: M05 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does M05's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
M05 1.0xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies6PS00.61.21.82.43+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: M05 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the European Leisure industry average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is M05's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

M05 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: M05 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst M05 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€35.54
€45.02
+26.7%
7.2%€49.55€40.02n/a8
Dec ’25€40.96
€43.25
+5.6%
7.2%€47.60€38.44n/a8
Nov ’25€40.78
€42.68
+4.7%
8.6%€48.91€37.83n/a8
Oct ’25€34.32
€37.64
+9.7%
13.8%€48.07€29.02n/a8
Sep ’25€30.90
€38.11
+23.3%
16.8%€52.48€28.95n/a8
Aug ’25€34.68
€38.41
+10.7%
17.8%€53.52€29.53n/a8
Jul ’25€31.32
€38.92
+24.3%
15.1%€53.43€33.16n/a8
Jun ’25€34.22
€38.92
+13.7%
15.1%€53.43€33.16n/a8
May ’25€32.00
€46.54
+45.4%
12.3%€56.49€36.72n/a7
Apr ’25€39.42
€46.08
+16.9%
9.6%€55.58€40.76n/a8
Mar ’25€39.94
€46.08
+15.4%
9.6%€55.58€40.76n/a8
Feb ’25€38.18
€45.88
+20.2%
10.2%€55.53€40.72n/a7
Jan ’25€49.42
€53.05
+7.3%
16.9%€75.55€44.77n/a8
Dec ’24€40.10
€53.05
+32.3%
16.9%€75.55€44.77€40.968
Nov ’24€41.84
€55.16
+31.8%
20.8%€82.33€45.42€40.787
Oct ’24€45.74
€58.83
+28.6%
16.1%€80.76€49.20€34.328
Sep ’24€44.38
€59.45
+34.0%
14.6%€80.19€48.85€30.908
Aug ’24€54.00
€63.01
+16.7%
14.6%€85.50€55.22€34.688
Jul ’24€53.75
€65.56
+22.0%
14.2%€88.33€57.05€31.328
Jun ’24€48.54
€66.62
+37.3%
13.7%€88.56€57.20€34.229
May ’24€50.60
€66.34
+31.1%
13.7%€87.50€54.69€32.009
Apr ’24€49.00
€68.84
+40.5%
13.7%€89.61€56.00€39.428
Mar ’24€56.00
€68.84
+22.9%
13.7%€89.61€56.00€39.948
Feb ’24€55.50
€72.33
+30.3%
18.5%€99.76€47.88€38.188
Jan ’24€49.20
€72.33
+47.0%
18.5%€99.76€47.88€49.428
Dec ’23€55.50
€72.33
+30.3%
18.5%€99.76€47.88€40.108

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 13:42
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Malibu Boats, Inc. is covered by 17 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Rommel DionisioAegis Capital Corporation
Craig KennisonBaird
Michael AlbaneseBenchmark Company