Stock Analysis

adidas (ETR:ADS) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around

XTRA:ADS
Source: Shutterstock

If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. In a perfect world, we'd like to see a company investing more capital into its business and ideally the returns earned from that capital are also increasing. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at adidas (ETR:ADS), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on adidas is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.033 = €356m ÷ (€20b - €9.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Therefore, adidas has an ROCE of 3.3%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for adidas

roce
XTRA:ADS Return on Capital Employed June 24th 2023

In the above chart we have measured adidas' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering adidas here for free.

SWOT Analysis for adidas

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Luxury market.
Opportunity
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Good value based on P/S ratio compared to estimated Fair P/S ratio.
Threat
  • Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.

How Are Returns Trending?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at adidas, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 25%, but since then they've fallen to 3.3%. Meanwhile, the business is utilizing more capital but this hasn't moved the needle much in terms of sales in the past 12 months, so this could reflect longer term investments. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

Another thing to note, adidas has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 46%. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.

In Conclusion...

To conclude, we've found that adidas is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think adidas has the makings of a multi-bagger.

If you want to continue researching adidas, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

While adidas may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.