Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of PRHA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

PRHA (€1.8) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (€4.5)

Is PRHA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRHA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRHA (€1.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€4.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRHA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRHA?

Key metric: As PRHA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRHA. This is calculated by dividing PRHA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRHA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	14.7x
Earnings	€66.64m
Market Cap	€979.68m

PRHA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	6.5x
PEG Ratio	0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRHA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRHA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	11x
BFSA Befesa	13.7x	30.2%	€758.4m
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA	11.1x	2.3%	€696.8m
GBF Bilfinger	7.4x	2.3%	€1.7b
AAD Amadeus FiRe	11.9x	7.2%	€415.0m
PRHA Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad	14.7x	32.5%	€979.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRHA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the peer average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRHA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRHA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRHA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRHA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.7x
Fair PE Ratio	13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRHA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRHA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	€1.80	€2.29 +27.0%	21.6%	€3.13	€1.60	n/a	8
Nov ’25	€1.86	€2.27 +21.9%	21.9%	€3.13	€1.60	n/a	8
Oct ’25	€1.89	€2.27 +19.6%	21.9%	€3.13	€1.60	n/a	8
Sep ’25	€1.74	€2.25 +29.8%	21.5%	€3.13	€1.60	n/a	8
Aug ’25	€1.71	€2.24 +31.3%	22.0%	€3.13	€1.60	n/a	8
Jul ’25	€1.70	€2.34 +37.9%	24.1%	€3.21	€1.60	n/a	8
Jun ’25	€1.75	€2.34 +33.9%	24.1%	€3.21	€1.60	n/a	8
May ’25	€1.63	€2.33 +43.0%	24.8%	€3.21	€1.60	n/a	8
Apr ’25	€1.54	€2.36 +53.0%	25.0%	€3.27	€1.70	n/a	8
Mar ’25	€1.75	€2.37 +35.3%	24.3%	€3.27	€1.70	n/a	8
Feb ’25	€1.72	€2.87 +66.4%	40.3%	€5.47	€1.80	n/a	8
Jan ’25	€1.74	€2.89 +66.3%	39.2%	€5.47	€1.85	n/a	8
Dec ’24	€1.79	€2.79 +55.8%	39.5%	€5.47	€1.85	n/a	9
Nov ’24	€1.40	€2.79 +98.9%	39.6%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.86	9
Oct ’24	€1.51	€2.80 +84.9%	39.1%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.89	9
Sep ’24	€1.60	€2.80 +75.2%	36.8%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.74	10
Aug ’24	€1.67	€2.80 +67.7%	36.6%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.71	10
Jul ’24	€1.62	€2.80 +73.5%	36.6%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.70	10
Jun ’24	€1.67	€2.84 +69.6%	35.6%	€5.47	€1.85	€1.75	10
May ’24	€1.71	€2.79 +63.3%	34.9%	€5.47	€1.70	€1.63	12
Apr ’24	€1.81	€2.79 +53.6%	34.5%	€5.47	€1.70	€1.54	12
Mar ’24	€1.93	€2.80 +44.8%	34.1%	€5.47	€1.80	€1.75	12
Feb ’24	€2.06	€2.75 +33.4%	34.6%	€5.47	€1.80	€1.72	12
Jan ’24	€1.76	€2.75 +56.5%	34.8%	€5.47	€1.80	€1.74	12
Dec ’23	€1.78	€2.72 +53.3%	36.6%	€5.47	€1.80	€1.79	11
Nov ’23	€1.88	€2.85 +52.0%	33.6%	€5.47	€1.90	€1.40	13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.