Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad, S.A.

DB:PRHA Stock Report

Market Cap: €866.4m

Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad Valuation

Is PRHA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRHA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRHA (€1.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRHA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRHA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PRHA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRHA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRHA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.4x
TTK TAKKT
55.2x40.8%€848.1m
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
11.6x3.3%€694.3m
BFSA Befesa
21.3x28.8%€1.1b
GBF Bilfinger
9.2x4.0%€1.6b
PRHA Prosegur Compañía de Seguridad
12.4x24.3%€866.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRHA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (24.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRHA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a17.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRHA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRHA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRHA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRHA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PRHA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.63
€2.33
+42.5%
24.8%€3.21€1.60n/a8
Apr ’25€1.54
€2.36
+53.0%
25.0%€3.27€1.70n/a8
Mar ’25€1.75
€2.37
+35.3%
24.3%€3.27€1.70n/a8
Feb ’25€1.72
€2.87
+66.4%
40.3%€5.47€1.80n/a8
Jan ’25€1.74
€2.89
+66.3%
39.2%€5.47€1.85n/a8
Dec ’24€1.79
€2.79
+55.8%
39.5%€5.47€1.85n/a9
Nov ’24€1.40
€2.79
+98.9%
39.6%€5.47€1.85n/a9
Oct ’24€1.51
€2.80
+84.9%
39.1%€5.47€1.85n/a9
Sep ’24€1.60
€2.80
+75.2%
36.8%€5.47€1.85n/a10
Aug ’24€1.67
€2.80
+67.7%
36.6%€5.47€1.85n/a10
Jul ’24€1.62
€2.80
+73.5%
36.6%€5.47€1.85n/a10
Jun ’24€1.67
€2.84
+69.6%
35.6%€5.47€1.85n/a10
May ’24€1.71
€2.79
+63.3%
34.9%€5.47€1.70€1.6312
Apr ’24€1.81
€2.79
+53.6%
34.5%€5.47€1.70€1.5412
Mar ’24€1.93
€2.80
+44.8%
34.1%€5.47€1.80€1.7512
Feb ’24€2.06
€2.75
+33.4%
34.6%€5.47€1.80€1.7212
Jan ’24€1.76
€2.75
+56.5%
34.8%€5.47€1.80€1.7412
Dec ’23€1.78
€2.72
+53.3%
36.6%€5.47€1.80€1.7911
Nov ’23€1.88
€2.85
+52.0%
33.6%€5.47€1.90€1.4013
Oct ’23€1.57
€3.12
+99.0%
34.6%€5.47€1.90€1.5114
Sep ’23€1.78
€3.12
+75.5%
34.6%€5.47€1.90€1.6014
Aug ’23€1.73
€3.22
+85.9%
32.8%€5.47€2.00€1.6713
Jul ’23€1.65
€3.39
+105.4%
27.4%€5.47€2.00€1.6213
Jun ’23€1.85
€3.39
+83.5%
27.4%€5.47€2.00€1.6713
May ’23€1.94
€3.43
+77.4%
25.5%€5.47€2.40€1.7113

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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