ManpowerGroup Valuation

Is MPW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MPW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MPW (€58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€217.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MPW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MPW?

Key metric: As MPW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MPW. This is calculated by dividing MPW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MPW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio77x
EarningsUS$38.10m
Market CapUS$2.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MPW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MPW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.8x
AAD Amadeus FiRe
12x7.2%€418.3m
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
10.7x2.3%€691.2m
BFSA Befesa
13.4x29.5%€740.0m
MPW ManpowerGroup
77x41.2%€2.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MPW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MPW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MPW 77.0xIndustry Avg. 18.3xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MPW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MPW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MPW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio77x
Fair PE Ratio19x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MPW is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (77x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MPW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.00
€66.40
+14.5%
9.3%€77.23€52.74n/a10
Nov ’25€57.50
€65.06
+13.1%
9.3%€75.67€51.68n/a10
Oct ’25€65.50
€70.47
+7.6%
9.1%€81.32€61.44n/a10
Sep ’25€65.50
€70.00
+6.9%
10.1%€82.01€59.23n/a11
Aug ’25€70.50
€71.29
+1.1%
10.8%€82.74€59.75n/a11
Jul ’25€64.50
€73.37
+13.8%
11.3%€84.17€60.79n/a11
Jun ’25€66.50
€71.73
+7.9%
10.6%€83.94€60.63n/a11
May ’25€71.00
€71.73
+1.0%
10.6%€83.94€60.63n/a11
Apr ’25€70.50
€70.82
+0.5%
11.1%€83.27€60.14n/a11
Mar ’25€66.50
€70.82
+6.5%
11.1%€83.27€60.14n/a11
Feb ’25€68.50
€71.34
+4.1%
10.8%€83.30€60.16n/a12
Jan ’25€72.00
€69.08
-4.1%
12.5%€81.89€50.04n/a12
Dec ’24€68.00
€69.19
+1.8%
12.0%€82.67€50.52n/a12
Nov ’24€66.00
€74.11
+12.3%
15.5%€96.53€52.05€57.5013
Oct ’24€69.00
€80.27
+16.3%
14.6%€102.38€58.24€65.5013
Sep ’24€72.50
€78.26
+7.9%
13.8%€97.73€57.16€65.5013
Aug ’24€71.50
€76.66
+7.2%
13.2%€95.82€56.05€70.5013
Jul ’24€73.50
€75.30
+2.5%
14.2%€93.45€61.39€64.5013
Jun ’24€65.50
€75.44
+15.2%
14.2%€94.80€62.27€66.5012
May ’24€67.50
€73.84
+9.4%
14.7%€92.36€60.67€71.0011
Apr ’24€74.50
€81.38
+9.2%
13.2%€94.27€65.34€70.5011
Mar ’24€80.00
€81.38
+1.7%
13.2%€94.27€65.34€66.5011
Feb ’24€80.00
€78.87
-1.4%
12.7%€91.94€63.72€68.5011
Jan ’24€78.00
€78.01
+0.02%
15.7%€95.14€58.04€72.0011
Dec ’23€83.50
€78.02
-6.6%
16.5%€96.87€59.09€68.0011
Nov ’23€79.00
€81.45
+3.1%
15.5%€101.29€61.79€66.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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