Liquidity Services Valuation

Is L1S undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of L1S when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: L1S (€30.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€132.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: L1S is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for L1S?

Key metric: As L1S is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for L1S. This is calculated by dividing L1S's market cap by their current earnings.
What is L1S's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio47.6x
EarningsUS$19.99m
Market CapUS$951.75m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does L1S's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for L1S vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.4x
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
11.2x2.2%€720.4m
GBF Bilfinger
7.5x2.2%€1.7b
BFSA Befesa
14.9x29.6%€824.8m
AAD Amadeus FiRe
11.8x7.2%€412.8m
L1S Liquidity Services
47.6xn/a€951.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: L1S is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.6x) compared to the peer average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does L1S's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
L1S 47.6xIndustry Avg. 13.8xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: L1S is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.6x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (13.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is L1S's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

L1S PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate L1S's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst L1S forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€30.20
€36.68
+21.5%
3.9%€38.11€35.25n/a2
Dec ’25€24.80
€25.19
+1.6%
1.8%€25.65€24.73n/a2
Nov ’25€19.80
€25.19
+27.2%
1.8%€25.65€24.73n/a2
Oct ’25€20.00
€25.19
+25.9%
1.8%€25.65€24.73n/a2
Sep ’25€19.50
€25.19
+29.2%
1.8%€25.65€24.73n/a2
Aug ’25€20.40
€25.15
+23.3%
1.8%€25.60€24.69n/a2
Jul ’25€18.30
€25.32
+38.4%
1.8%€25.78€24.86n/a2
Jun ’25€17.80
€25.32
+42.2%
1.8%€25.78€24.86n/a2
May ’25€16.10
€25.55
+58.7%
1.8%€26.01€25.08n/a2
Apr ’25€16.90
€25.55
+51.2%
1.8%€26.01€25.08n/a2
Mar ’25€16.40
€25.55
+55.8%
1.8%€26.01€25.08n/a2
Feb ’25€16.10
€25.55
+58.7%
1.8%€26.01€25.08n/a2
Jan ’25€15.10
€25.55
+69.2%
1.8%€26.01€25.08n/a2
Dec ’24€17.30
€25.21
+45.7%
1.8%€25.66€24.75€24.802
Nov ’24€17.90
€25.21
+40.8%
1.8%€25.66€24.75€19.802
Oct ’24€16.40
€25.21
+53.7%
1.8%€25.66€24.75€20.002
Sep ’24€16.60
€25.21
+51.8%
1.8%€25.66€24.75€19.502
Aug ’24€15.10
€21.83
+44.5%
16.7%€25.46€18.19€20.402
Jul ’24€15.00
€21.78
+45.2%
16.7%€25.40€18.15€18.302
Jun ’24€13.90
€21.78
+56.7%
16.7%€25.40€18.15€17.802
May ’24€11.50
€21.91
+90.5%
16.7%€25.56€18.26€16.102
Apr ’24€11.80
€22.23
+88.4%
16.7%€25.94€18.53€16.902
Mar ’24€11.90
€22.23
+86.8%
16.7%€25.94€18.53€16.402
Feb ’24€13.50
€22.78
+68.7%
16.7%€26.58€18.98€16.102
Jan ’24€13.10
€22.78
+73.9%
16.7%€26.58€18.98€15.102
Dec ’23€15.60
€27.27
+74.8%
3.7%€28.28€26.26€17.302

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 10:06
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Liquidity Services, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Colin SebastianBaird
Gary PrestopinoBarrington Research Associates, Inc.
Daniel KurnosBenchmark Company