CSG Systems International, Inc.

DB:CSN Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.2b

CSG Systems International Valuation

Is CSN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CSN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CSN (€42.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€113.09)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CSN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CSN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA11.2x
PEG Ratio1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CSN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CSN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.8x
AAD Amadeus FiRe
13.2x8.9%€502.5m
BFSA Befesa
18x27.8%€1.0b
GBF Bilfinger
8.5x2.4%€1.8b
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
11.7x2.7%€737.2m
CSN CSG Systems International
21.3x20.3%€1.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the peer average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CSN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CSN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CSN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CSN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€43.40
€58.43
+34.6%
19.7%€74.21€39.40n/a9
Sep ’25€43.00
€58.43
+35.9%
19.7%€74.21€39.40n/a9
Aug ’25€43.20
€60.15
+39.2%
16.1%€74.32€39.45n/a9
Jul ’25€38.00
€60.15
+58.3%
16.1%€74.32€39.45n/a9
Jun ’25€39.40
€61.63
+56.4%
14.3%€75.51€44.75n/a9
May ’25€45.00
€62.53
+39.0%
13.5%€76.23€47.06n/a9
Apr ’25€46.40
€61.37
+32.3%
13.5%€74.82€46.19n/a9
Mar ’25€50.00
€61.83
+23.7%
14.3%€75.17€46.40n/a8
Feb ’25€46.40
€61.55
+32.7%
14.2%€76.74€48.42n/a8
Jan ’25€48.00
€61.61
+28.3%
14.2%€76.81€48.46n/a8
Dec ’24€44.80
€61.49
+37.3%
15.5%€77.24€45.06n/a8
Nov ’24€43.80
€67.65
+54.5%
10.6%€79.48€56.77n/a6
Oct ’24€48.40
€66.85
+38.1%
10.6%€78.53€56.09€43.406
Sep ’24€49.80
€64.89
+30.3%
11.1%€76.77€54.83€43.006
Aug ’24€46.40
€63.72
+37.3%
12.0%€74.64€50.98€43.206
Jul ’24€48.00
€63.72
+32.8%
12.0%€74.64€50.98€38.006
Jun ’24€44.20
€61.33
+38.8%
10.5%€68.05€50.81€39.405
May ’24€47.00
€62.98
+34.0%
8.5%€68.45€54.76€45.005
Apr ’24€48.00
€66.37
+38.3%
8.7%€71.11€56.89€46.404
Mar ’24€52.50
€67.20
+28.0%
3.2%€68.72€64.14€50.003
Feb ’24€53.50
€68.99
+29.0%
2.8%€71.21€66.46€46.403
Jan ’24€53.00
€68.99
+30.2%
2.8%€71.21€66.46€48.003
Dec ’23€58.50
€71.59
+22.4%
1.7%€73.22€70.29€44.803
Nov ’23€64.00
€71.85
+12.3%
0.7%€72.34€71.35€43.802
Oct ’23€54.50
€71.85
+31.8%
0.7%€72.34€71.35€48.402

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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