PARK24 Valuation

Is 5FJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5FJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5FJ (€10.9) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5FJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5FJ?

Key metric: As 5FJ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 5FJ. This is calculated by dividing 5FJ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 5FJ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.3x
EarningsJP¥16.90b
Market CapJP¥308.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5FJ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5FJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.8x
BFSA Befesa
13.4x29.5%€740.0m
GBF Bilfinger
7.2x2.3%€1.7b
CWC CEWE Stiftung KGaA
10.7x2.3%€691.2m
AAD Amadeus FiRe
12x7.2%€418.3m
5FJ PARK24
18.3x16.3%€308.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5FJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the peer average (10.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5FJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
5FJ 18.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies13PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5FJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5FJ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5FJ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.3x
Fair PE Ratio12.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5FJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5FJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.90
€16.24
+49.0%
15.8%€20.16€13.13n/a6
Nov ’25€11.00
€16.36
+48.7%
15.8%€20.31€13.23n/a6
Oct ’25€10.90
€16.44
+50.8%
16.5%€20.54€13.38n/a6
Sep ’25€10.40
€15.02
+44.4%
17.6%€19.25€12.54n/a6
Aug ’25€9.30
€15.02
+61.5%
17.6%€19.25€12.54n/a6
Jul ’25€8.95
€15.69
+75.3%
16.9%€19.47€12.98n/a5
Jun ’25€9.20
€16.09
+74.9%
17.4%€19.38€12.92n/a5
May ’25€9.75
€16.75
+71.8%
15.8%€20.10€13.40n/a6
Apr ’25€10.60
€16.75
+58.0%
15.8%€20.10€13.40n/a6
Mar ’25€10.60
€17.53
+65.4%
13.9%€21.29€13.77n/a7
Feb ’25€11.90
€17.53
+47.3%
13.9%€21.29€13.77n/a7
Jan ’25€11.30
€18.06
+59.8%
13.9%€21.93€14.19n/a7
Dec ’24€11.00
€17.11
+55.5%
14.3%€20.88€13.51n/a7
Nov ’24€10.20
€17.27
+69.4%
14.2%€21.55€13.95€11.008
Oct ’24€11.80
€17.69
+50.0%
14.6%€21.57€13.96€10.909
Sep ’24€13.00
€17.79
+36.8%
14.5%€21.07€14.05€10.409
Aug ’24€11.90
€17.79
+49.5%
14.5%€21.07€14.05€9.309
Jul ’24€12.20
€17.79
+45.8%
14.5%€21.07€14.05€8.959
Jun ’24€13.80
€18.07
+30.9%
11.2%€21.68€14.23€9.209
May ’24€13.80
€18.07
+30.9%
11.2%€21.68€14.23€9.759
Apr ’24€13.20
€19.03
+44.2%
11.0%€22.75€14.93€10.609
Mar ’24€13.50
€18.68
+38.4%
11.1%€21.86€14.81€10.609
Feb ’24€15.20
€18.83
+23.9%
10.8%€21.89€14.83€11.909
Jan ’24€15.80
€18.71
+18.4%
11.4%€21.94€14.86€11.309
Dec ’23€13.50
€16.74
+24.0%
9.2%€19.21€14.41€11.009
Nov ’23€13.30
€16.74
+25.8%
9.2%€19.21€14.41€10.209

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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