Verra Mobility Valuation

Is 0YK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0YK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0YK (€24.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€45.1)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0YK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0YK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0YK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA16.2x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0YK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0YK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
GBF Bilfinger
8.5x2.4%€1.8b
BFSA Befesa
18.6x27.8%€1.1b
AAD Amadeus FiRe
13.3x8.9%€506.3m
EXLS ExlService Holdings
34.2x15.4%US$6.1b
0YK Verra Mobility
47.4x26.3%€4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0YK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the peer average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0YK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Professional Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0YK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the European Professional Services industry average (18.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0YK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0YK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio47.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0YK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (47.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0YK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.40
€27.37
+12.2%
9.4%€31.04€23.39n/a6
Sep ’25€24.60
€27.37
+11.2%
9.4%€31.04€23.39n/a6
Aug ’25€27.80
€26.59
-4.3%
13.8%€31.55€20.12n/a6
Jul ’25€24.60
€24.92
+1.3%
9.0%€26.93€20.43n/a6
Jun ’25€24.40
€24.92
+2.1%
9.0%€26.93€20.43n/a6
May ’25€22.60
€23.84
+5.5%
9.6%€26.76€19.38n/a6
Apr ’25€23.20
€23.84
+2.8%
9.6%€26.76€19.38n/a6
Mar ’25€20.40
€23.53
+15.4%
9.5%€26.76€19.38n/a6
Feb ’25€22.00
€22.25
+1.1%
10.5%€24.52€17.25n/a6
Jan ’25€20.60
€22.25
+8.0%
10.5%€24.52€17.25n/a6
Dec ’24€18.30
€22.31
+21.9%
9.8%€24.33€17.78n/a6
Nov ’24€18.60
€22.35
+20.1%
11.4%€24.55€17.00n/a6
Oct ’24€17.60
€21.90
+24.4%
12.3%€24.33€16.85n/a5
Sep ’24€16.20
€21.39
+32.0%
11.2%€23.83€16.50€24.606
Aug ’24€18.80
€20.31
+8.0%
15.0%€23.64€15.46€27.806
Jul ’24€17.80
€18.73
+5.2%
13.7%€22.84€15.53€24.606
Jun ’24€16.30
€18.60
+14.1%
13.7%€22.68€15.42€24.406
May ’24€15.10
€19.03
+26.0%
14.4%€23.59€15.10€22.606
Apr ’24€15.30
€19.03
+24.4%
14.4%€23.59€15.10€23.206
Mar ’24€15.90
€19.29
+21.3%
12.6%€22.94€15.96€20.406
Feb ’24€14.00
€19.29
+37.8%
12.6%€22.94€15.96€22.006
Jan ’24€12.60
€19.29
+53.1%
12.6%€22.94€15.96€20.606
Dec ’23€14.80
€19.29
+30.3%
12.6%€22.94€15.96€18.306
Nov ’23€16.70
€19.74
+18.2%
11.8%€22.90€16.92€18.606
Oct ’23€15.60
€19.74
+26.6%
11.8%€22.90€16.92€17.606
Sep ’23€15.60
€19.51
+25.1%
11.0%€22.44€16.59€16.207

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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