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Somfy Valuation

Is YSM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of YSM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: YSM (€142.8) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€81.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: YSM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for YSM?

Key metric: As YSM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for YSM. This is calculated by dividing YSM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is YSM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.8x
Earnings€236.28m
Market Cap€4.92b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does YSM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for YSM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.2x
SGL SGL Carbon
7.3x17.7%€502.5m
F3C SFC Energy
12.4x4.2%€289.3m
KGX KION GROUP
12.8x17.4%€4.3b
HOT HOCHTIEF
12.2x2.5%€8.8b
YSM Somfy
20.8x4.3%€4.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: YSM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the peer average (45.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does YSM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
YSM 20.8xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: YSM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (20.3x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is YSM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

YSM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: YSM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst YSM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Nov ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Aug ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
May ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Dec ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Nov ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Aug ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jul ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
May ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
€140.25
0%
9.0%€155.00€120.00n/a4
Jan ’24€141.80
€134.20
-5.4%
12.4%€155.00€110.00n/a5
Dec ’23€143.60
€134.20
-6.5%
12.4%€155.00€110.00n/a5
Nov ’23€110.00
€133.40
+21.3%
12.1%€155.00€110.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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