Strabag Valuation

Is XD4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XD4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XD4 (€38.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€85.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XD4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XD4?

Key metric: As XD4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for XD4. This is calculated by dividing XD4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is XD4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
Earnings€647.89m
Market Cap€4.62b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XD4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XD4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average58.9x
HOT HOCHTIEF
11.7x2.9%€8.5b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
179.5x56.4%€1.0b
B5A BAUER
30.7x38.2%€170.0m
KGX KION GROUP
13.6x17.4%€4.5b
XD4 Strabag
7.2x-5.6%€4.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XD4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the peer average (58.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XD4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
XD4 7.1xIndustry Avg. 12.8xNo. of Companies19PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XD4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XD4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XD4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XD4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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