Toyo Tanso Valuation

Is T9T undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of T9T when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: T9T (€28.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€60.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: T9T is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for T9T?

Key metric: As T9T is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for T9T. This is calculated by dividing T9T's market cap by their current earnings.
What is T9T's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
EarningsJP¥8.89b
Market CapJP¥100.67b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does T9T's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for T9T vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.4x
SGL SGL Carbon
7.9x18.5%€544.1m
F3C SFC Energy
12.6x1.2%€303.9m
EKT Energiekontor
8.2x10.7%€606.0m
OSR OSRAM Licht
80.9xn/a€4.8b
T9T Toyo Tanso
11.3x10.5%€100.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: T9T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (27.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does T9T's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
T9T 11.3xIndustry Avg. 16.9xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: T9T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is T9T's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

T9T PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: T9T is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst T9T forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€28.80
€48.09
+67.0%
14.5%€61.17€39.76n/a8
Nov ’25€30.60
€50.02
+63.5%
12.3%€61.48€39.96n/a8
Oct ’25€36.00
€50.02
+39.0%
12.3%€61.48€39.96n/a8
Sep ’25€35.00
€50.35
+43.9%
12.1%€62.18€40.41n/a8
Aug ’25€38.00
€51.30
+35.0%
8.1%€58.72€46.39n/a8
Jul ’25€37.80
€51.30
+35.7%
8.1%€58.72€46.39n/a8
Jun ’25€38.40
€51.40
+33.9%
7.9%€58.72€46.39n/a8
May ’25€45.40
€52.28
+15.2%
8.0%€59.90€47.32n/a8
Apr ’25€47.40
€50.54
+6.6%
7.6%€57.64€43.38n/a8
Mar ’25€41.40
€43.56
+5.2%
16.4%€50.40€27.66n/a8
Feb ’25€30.40
€38.68
+27.2%
12.5%€43.50€27.96n/a8
Jan ’25€29.80
€38.45
+29.0%
13.4%€43.31€27.84n/a7
Dec ’24€26.80
€38.45
+43.5%
13.4%€43.31€27.84n/a7
Nov ’24€31.00
€40.64
+31.1%
10.4%€48.05€34.77€30.607
Oct ’24€34.00
€40.64
+19.5%
10.4%€48.05€34.77€36.007
Sep ’24€37.60
€37.84
+0.6%
12.8%€44.35€29.15€35.007
Aug ’24€37.20
€35.02
-5.9%
10.4%€41.71€29.52€38.007
Jul ’24€32.00
€34.64
+8.3%
8.5%€39.38€30.71€37.807
Jun ’24€33.60
€34.19
+1.7%
9.6%€39.13€29.84€38.406
May ’24€26.00
€33.20
+27.7%
6.6%€35.85€31.02€45.405
Apr ’24€28.00
€33.50
+19.6%
6.0%€36.91€31.94€47.404
Mar ’24€30.60
€32.89
+7.5%
5.7%€36.13€30.57€41.405
Feb ’24€28.80
€33.98
+18.0%
7.2%€38.44€31.32€30.405
Jan ’24€25.80
€33.98
+31.7%
7.2%€38.44€31.32€29.805
Dec ’23€26.80
€32.41
+20.9%
9.3%€37.53€29.89€26.804
Nov ’23€24.00
€31.84
+32.7%
13.1%€38.86€28.06€31.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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