Stabilus Valuation

Is STM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of STM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: STM (€33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€63.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: STM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for STM?

Key metric: As STM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for STM. This is calculated by dividing STM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is STM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.3x
Earnings€72.00m
Market Cap€815.10m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does STM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for STM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.3x
MBH3 Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle
10.4xn/a€837.5m
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.3x7.7%€1.1b
SLT Schaltbau Holding
139.2xn/a€633.0m
MUB Mühlbauer Holding
16.2xn/a€519.4m
STM Stabilus
11.3x16.6%€815.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: STM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the peer average (43.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does STM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
STM 11.3xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: STM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is STM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

STM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.3x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: STM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst STM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.00
€58.25
+76.5%
8.6%€65.00€48.00n/a8
Nov ’25€36.35
€60.25
+65.7%
10.5%€68.00€48.00n/a8
Oct ’25€36.90
€60.25
+63.3%
10.5%€68.00€48.00n/a8
Sep ’25€39.30
€61.78
+57.2%
11.7%€72.00€48.00n/a9
Aug ’25€45.55
€61.78
+35.6%
11.7%€72.00€48.00n/a9
Jul ’25€42.35
€65.89
+55.6%
15.7%€88.00€48.00n/a9
Jun ’25€56.50
€74.17
+31.3%
11.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
May ’25€58.90
€75.33
+27.9%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Apr ’25€60.15
€75.33
+25.2%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Mar ’25€60.95
€75.33
+23.6%
10.7%€88.00€59.00n/a9
Feb ’25€65.45
€74.89
+14.4%
12.0%€88.00€55.00n/a9
Jan ’25€62.55
€73.00
+16.7%
11.2%€83.00€55.00n/a9
Dec ’24€57.35
€73.00
+27.3%
11.2%€83.00€55.00n/a9
Nov ’24€59.55
€72.67
+22.0%
12.6%€88.00€55.00€36.359
Oct ’24€52.40
€70.67
+34.9%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€36.909
Sep ’24€51.45
€70.67
+37.4%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€39.309
Aug ’24€54.25
€70.67
+30.3%
9.7%€80.00€55.00€45.559
Jul ’24€54.10
€72.56
+34.1%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€42.359
Jun ’24€55.50
€73.00
+31.5%
8.8%€80.00€60.00€56.509
May ’24€58.45
€73.00
+24.9%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€58.909
Apr ’24€64.40
€73.00
+13.4%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€60.159
Mar ’24€63.80
€73.00
+14.4%
9.0%€80.00€60.00€60.959
Feb ’24€63.00
€72.00
+14.3%
8.5%€80.00€60.00€65.459
Jan ’24€63.30
€69.67
+10.1%
11.3%€80.00€56.00€62.559
Dec ’23€61.70
€66.22
+7.3%
14.6%€80.00€48.00€57.359
Nov ’23€55.65
€65.83
+18.3%
14.1%€78.00€48.00€59.559

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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