Rheinmetall Valuation

Is RHM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RHM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RHM (€612) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€1673.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RHM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RHM?

Key metric: As RHM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for RHM. This is calculated by dividing RHM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is RHM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio38.8x
Earnings€685.00m
Market Cap€26.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does RHM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for RHM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.7x
MTX MTU Aero Engines
24.5x11.5%€17.4b
OHB OHB
13xn/a€907.8m
FQT Frequentis
20.7x14.9%€355.6m
DTG Daimler Truck Holding
8.7x12.9%€29.1b
RHM Rheinmetall
38.8x29.9%€26.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RHM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x) compared to the peer average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does RHM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RHM 38.8xIndustry Avg. 24.7xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RHM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RHM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RHM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.8x
Fair PE Ratio31.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: RHM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst RHM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€612.00
€721.93
+18.0%
7.4%€820.00€630.00n/a15
Dec ’25€622.20
€692.87
+11.4%
7.4%€820.00€630.00n/a15
Nov ’25€478.50
€620.87
+29.8%
10.0%€730.00€496.00n/a15
Oct ’25€515.00
€616.44
+19.7%
10.4%€730.00€496.00n/a16
Sep ’25€541.20
€610.20
+12.7%
10.6%€730.00€496.00n/a15
Aug ’25€495.90
€590.40
+19.1%
12.9%€730.00€468.00n/a15
Jul ’25€485.80
€577.07
+18.8%
13.4%€730.00€451.00n/a14
Jun ’25€526.40
€575.00
+9.2%
13.2%€730.00€451.00n/a14
May ’25€516.60
€565.69
+9.5%
13.2%€730.00€451.00n/a13
Apr ’25€520.00
€503.77
-3.1%
13.9%€600.00€381.00n/a13
Mar ’25€432.90
€408.38
-5.7%
9.2%€455.00€323.00n/a13
Feb ’25€328.20
€365.08
+11.2%
14.2%€425.00€233.00n/a13
Jan ’25€288.10
€342.38
+18.8%
13.3%€420.00€233.00n/a13
Dec ’24€280.90
€325.83
+16.0%
11.2%€381.00€233.00€622.2012
Nov ’24€276.10
€297.17
+7.6%
7.7%€320.00€233.00€478.5012
Oct ’24€244.00
€295.45
+21.1%
7.9%€320.00€233.00€515.0011
Sep ’24€248.80
€291.00
+17.0%
7.8%€322.00€233.00€541.2011
Aug ’24€262.10
€290.45
+10.8%
7.8%€322.00€233.00€495.9011
Jul ’24€249.90
€290.64
+16.3%
7.6%€322.00€233.00€485.8011
Jun ’24€239.20
€290.64
+21.5%
7.6%€322.00€233.00€526.4011
May ’24€265.40
€290.27
+9.4%
7.8%€322.00€233.00€516.6011
Apr ’24€275.00
€281.27
+2.3%
8.8%€310.00€233.00€520.0011
Mar ’24€247.20
€262.55
+6.2%
8.4%€306.00€233.00€432.9011
Feb ’24€219.00
€246.09
+12.4%
9.4%€290.00€195.00€328.2011
Jan ’24€187.95
€233.18
+24.1%
11.2%€290.00€195.00€288.1011
Dec ’23€190.70
€233.18
+22.3%
11.2%€290.00€195.00€280.9011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 19:14
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Rheinmetall AG is covered by 42 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gordon SchönellBankhaus Lampe KG
Charlotte KeyworthBarclays
George McwhirterBerenberg