NSK Valuation

Is NSK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NSK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NSK (€4.14) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NSK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NSK?

Key metric: As NSK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NSK. This is calculated by dividing NSK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NSK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.4x
EarningsJP¥11.44b
Market CapJP¥325.24b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NSK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NSK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.4x
DUE Dürr
19.3x28.1%€1.6b
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
24.4x18.4%€1.5b
GIL DMG MORI
22.2xn/a€3.6b
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.5x7.7%€1.1b
NSK NSK
28.4x29.5%€325.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the peer average (18.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NSK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
NSK 28.4xIndustry Avg. 15.4xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (15.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NSK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NSK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NSK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NSK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.18
€5.07
+21.4%
13.6%€5.94€3.44n/a9
Dec ’25€4.10
€5.07
+23.8%
13.6%€5.94€3.44n/a9
Nov ’25€4.06
€4.96
+22.2%
10.4%€5.73€3.92n/a9
Oct ’25€4.46
€5.28
+18.4%
7.7%€5.85€4.62n/a9
Sep ’25€4.62
€5.28
+14.3%
7.7%€5.85€4.62n/a9
Aug ’25€4.64
€5.34
+15.0%
7.5%€5.86€4.62n/a9
Jul ’25€4.52
€4.96
+9.8%
7.2%€5.34€4.35n/a8
Jun ’25€4.48
€5.01
+11.9%
7.2%€5.39€4.40n/a8
May ’25€5.15
€5.04
-2.1%
9.0%€5.77€4.56n/a8
Apr ’25€5.20
€5.02
-3.5%
8.6%€5.82€4.59n/a8
Mar ’25€5.05
€5.02
-0.7%
8.6%€5.82€4.59n/a8
Feb ’25€5.00
€5.51
+10.2%
12.2%€6.97€4.75n/a8
Jan ’25€4.80
€5.79
+20.6%
13.3%€7.09€4.84n/a8
Dec ’24€4.70
€5.62
+19.6%
12.5%€6.89€4.70€4.109
Nov ’24€4.82
€5.71
+18.4%
11.8%€6.86€4.86€4.069
Oct ’24€5.30
€5.96
+12.4%
10.6%€6.97€5.07€4.469
Sep ’24€5.35
€5.96
+11.3%
10.6%€6.97€5.07€4.629
Aug ’24€5.55
€6.39
+15.2%
7.8%€7.03€5.43€4.649
Jul ’24€5.70
€6.22
+9.1%
10.9%€7.16€4.69€4.5210
Jun ’24€5.50
€6.05
+10.1%
14.9%€7.37€4.75€4.4810
May ’24€5.05
€5.71
+13.1%
16.3%€7.72€4.91€5.1510
Apr ’24€5.10
€5.71
+12.0%
16.3%€7.72€4.91€5.2010
Mar ’24€5.20
€5.50
+5.7%
14.8%€7.61€4.84€5.0510
Feb ’24€5.00
€5.62
+12.4%
14.4%€7.77€4.95€5.0010
Jan ’24€4.86
€5.69
+17.0%
14.4%€7.64€4.86€4.8010
Dec ’23€5.20
€5.76
+10.8%
14.2%€7.66€4.88€4.7010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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