thyssenkrupp nucera AG & Co. KGaA

DB:NCH2 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.5b

thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA Valuation

Is NCH2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NCH2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NCH2 (€12.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NCH2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NCH2?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

NCH2 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA761.2x
PEG Ratio5x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does NCH2's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for NCH2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
HOT HOCHTIEF
0.3x5.3%€7.7b
B5A BAUER
0.1xn/a€202.3m
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
1.6x3.5%€1.5b
STM Stabilus
1.1x9.0%€1.3b
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
2.1x21.9%€1.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: NCH2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NCH2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: NCH2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the European Construction industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NCH2's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NCH2 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.1x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: NCH2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NCH2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€12.09
€21.15
+74.9%
23.4%€27.00€10.00n/a12
May ’25€12.19
€21.62
+77.3%
21.4%€27.00€11.00n/a11
Apr ’25€14.45
€21.80
+50.9%
22.3%€29.00€11.00n/a11
Mar ’25€15.30
€22.40
+46.4%
21.4%€29.00€12.00n/a12
Feb ’25€15.28
€24.03
+57.3%
16.4%€29.00€16.00n/a10
Jan ’25€18.30
€24.03
+31.3%
16.4%€29.00€16.00n/a10
Dec ’24€16.36
€18.50
+13.1%
13.5%€21.00€16.00n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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