Meidensha Valuation

Is MW7 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MW7 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MW7 (€24.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€42.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MW7 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MW7?

Key metric: As MW7 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MW7. This is calculated by dividing MW7's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MW7's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.1x
EarningsJP¥14.92b
Market CapJP¥180.78b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MW7's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MW7 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
KSB KSB SE KGaA
7.4x7.7%€1.1b
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
24.6xn/a€1.5b
DUE Dürr
17.7x28.1%€1.5b
STM Stabilus
11.3x16.6%€810.2m
MW7 Meidensha
12.1x6.9%€180.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MW7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MW7's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
MW7 12.1xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MW7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MW7's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MW7 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MW7 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MW7 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€24.60
€27.46
+11.6%
22.2%€37.55€21.55n/a5
Nov ’25€23.00
€24.71
+7.5%
12.6%€28.33€21.10n/a5
Oct ’25€20.60
€25.37
+23.2%
14.0%€29.37€20.62n/a5
Sep ’25€21.40
€25.65
+19.9%
15.9%€30.98€20.45n/a5
Aug ’25€21.80
€22.08
+1.3%
26.4%€29.18€11.67n/a6
Jul ’25€21.00
€21.68
+3.2%
27.5%€29.30€11.72n/a6
Jun ’25€25.00
€21.68
-13.3%
27.5%€29.30€11.72n/a6
May ’25€20.60
€19.04
-7.6%
20.2%€24.30€12.15n/a6
Apr ’25€17.20
€17.17
-0.2%
16.8%€20.35€12.33n/a6
Mar ’25€16.60
€16.34
-1.6%
15.9%€20.22€12.25n/a6
Feb ’25€17.00
€16.40
-3.5%
12.9%€18.87€12.58n/a6
Jan ’25€15.40
€15.87
+3.0%
13.5%€18.48€12.75n/a5
Dec ’24€15.00
€14.92
-0.5%
15.7%€17.74€12.23n/a5
Nov ’24€14.80
€14.52
-1.9%
12.0%€17.05€12.63€23.005
Oct ’24€14.10
€14.08
-0.1%
12.2%€17.21€12.75€20.605
Sep ’24€13.70
€14.08
+2.8%
10.7%€16.72€12.86€21.405
Aug ’24€13.50
€14.08
+4.3%
10.7%€16.72€12.86€21.805
Jul ’24€12.50
€13.26
+6.1%
6.0%€14.61€12.71€21.004
Jun ’24€12.20
€14.19
+16.3%
5.6%€15.54€13.52€25.004
May ’24€12.30
€14.33
+16.5%
5.4%€15.60€13.56€20.604
Apr ’24€13.10
€15.88
+21.2%
8.8%€18.05€14.23€17.204
Mar ’24€13.60
€15.88
+16.8%
8.8%€18.05€14.23€16.604
Feb ’24€13.10
€17.49
+33.5%
9.6%€19.79€15.55€17.004
Jan ’24€13.10
€17.60
+34.3%
7.1%€19.32€15.87€15.404
Dec ’23€14.10
€18.21
+29.2%
4.7%€19.37€17.29€15.003
Nov ’23€13.90
€19.96
+43.6%
8.7%€22.10€17.82€14.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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