MISUMI Group Inc.

DB:MS3 Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.3b

MISUMI Group Valuation

Is MS3 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MS3 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MS3 (€15.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€18.93)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MS3 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MS3?

Key metric: As MS3 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MS3. This is calculated by dividing MS3's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MS3's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.6x
EarningsJP¥32.17b
Market CapJP¥695.89b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MS3's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MS3 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.8x
GIL DMG MORI
22.2xn/a€3.6b
KRN Krones
14.7x16.2%€3.7b
G1A GEA Group
19.1x8.3%€7.8b
RAA RATIONAL
43.3x6.9%€10.2b
MS3 MISUMI Group
21.6x9.6%€695.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MS3 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the peer average (24.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MS3's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
MS3 21.6xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MS3's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MS3 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.6x
Fair PE Ratio16.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MS3 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MS3 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€15.30
€19.26
+25.9%
7.7%€20.74€15.86n/a7
Nov ’25€14.30
€19.21
+34.3%
7.7%€20.69€15.82n/a7
Oct ’25€15.70
€19.51
+24.3%
8.8%€21.10€15.52n/a7
Sep ’25€16.60
€19.43
+17.1%
8.9%€20.93€15.39n/a7
Aug ’25€16.30
€18.74
+15.0%
8.5%€20.36€15.57n/a7
Jul ’25€15.50
€17.40
+12.3%
11.9%€19.47€14.16n/a8
Jun ’25€15.40
€17.10
+11.0%
11.9%€19.46€14.15n/a7
May ’25€14.90
€17.23
+15.6%
11.9%€19.60€14.26n/a7
Apr ’25€12.60
€16.77
+33.1%
13.5%€20.98€14.81n/a6
Mar ’25€13.70
€16.77
+22.4%
13.5%€20.98€14.81n/a6
Feb ’25€15.30
€16.73
+9.3%
13.2%€21.07€14.87n/a6
Jan ’25€14.40
€16.95
+17.7%
12.9%€21.62€15.26n/a6
Dec ’24€14.50
€17.39
+20.0%
13.1%€20.82€14.70n/a5
Nov ’24€14.30
€19.63
+37.3%
22.6%€28.34€15.11€14.306
Oct ’24€14.50
€20.75
+43.1%
21.5%€28.44€15.17€15.706
Sep ’24€15.90
€21.55
+35.5%
18.2%€28.24€16.32€16.606
Aug ’24€16.30
€23.89
+46.6%
23.8%€34.72€16.72€16.306
Jul ’24€17.80
€25.63
+44.0%
16.5%€34.48€21.71€15.507
Jun ’24€20.00
€26.75
+33.7%
17.1%€35.90€19.95€15.407
May ’24€22.40
€26.72
+19.3%
17.9%€36.64€19.98€14.907
Apr ’24€22.20
€27.52
+23.9%
18.2%€38.59€21.05€12.608
Mar ’24€22.80
€27.31
+19.8%
18.8%€37.88€20.66€13.708
Feb ’24€22.80
€28.69
+25.8%
24.1%€44.78€21.32€15.308
Jan ’24€19.90
€29.74
+49.4%
21.2%€44.53€23.33€14.408
Dec ’23€24.20
€28.80
+19.0%
22.2%€43.51€22.79€14.508
Nov ’23€21.00
€28.30
+34.8%
22.2%€42.89€22.46€14.308

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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