Lockheed Martin Corporation

DB:LOM Stock Report

Market Cap: €103.5b

Lockheed Martin Valuation

Is LOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOM (€431.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€656.05)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LOM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.5x
PEG Ratio18.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.1x
RHM Rheinmetall
39.3x24.6%€22.8b
5UH Hensoldt
81.9x39.4%€4.4b
OHB OHB
11.6x-1.7%€829.1m
SIE Siemens
15.8x3.8%€139.3b
LOM Lockheed Martin
16.3x0.9%€111.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (37.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a28.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (30.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio20.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€431.50
€456.06
+5.7%
6.8%€510.40€353.35n/a21
Apr ’25€420.60
€445.50
+5.9%
6.8%€503.74€350.59n/a22
Mar ’25€393.00
€449.06
+14.3%
6.9%€511.39€353.32n/a22
Feb ’25€395.20
€446.77
+13.0%
6.9%€507.82€350.85n/a22
Jan ’25€407.00
€441.84
+8.6%
8.2%€503.80€333.42n/a21
Dec ’24€414.00
€454.16
+9.7%
8.3%€519.70€343.94n/a21
Nov ’24€430.20
€454.16
+5.6%
8.3%€519.70€343.94n/a21
Oct ’24€388.50
€472.32
+21.6%
8.4%€528.30€356.01n/a21
Sep ’24€416.10
€456.26
+9.7%
8.1%€507.21€341.80n/a20
Aug ’24€407.20
€452.45
+11.1%
8.1%€502.16€338.40n/a20
Jul ’24€424.00
€470.66
+11.0%
9.3%€541.77€347.14n/a20
Jun ’24€418.80
€470.66
+12.4%
9.3%€541.77€347.14n/a20
May ’24€421.40
€472.98
+12.2%
14.8%€711.05€338.20n/a20
Apr ’24€435.75
€463.18
+6.3%
16.0%€713.55€307.91€420.6019
Mar ’24€444.85
€468.19
+5.2%
15.6%€721.45€311.32€393.0020
Feb ’24€422.45
€452.60
+7.1%
16.3%€704.57€304.04€395.2020
Jan ’24€454.15
€469.32
+3.3%
15.6%€715.43€361.96€407.0020
Dec ’23€459.55
€447.07
-2.7%
10.4%€528.22€346.70€414.0018
Nov ’23€493.60
€462.10
-6.4%
9.7%€516.85€362.30€430.2018
Oct ’23€390.90
€476.02
+21.8%
9.2%€553.66€384.17€388.5017
Sep ’23€424.90
€463.07
+9.0%
9.3%€539.22€374.15€416.1017
Aug ’23€411.85
€453.80
+10.2%
9.6%€528.22€366.52€407.2016
Jul ’23€411.90
€464.40
+12.7%
8.0%€516.95€375.01€424.0015
Jun ’23€413.55
€463.68
+12.1%
7.7%€518.09€375.83€418.8015
May ’23€410.00
€457.80
+11.7%
7.5%€511.08€370.75€421.4016
Apr ’23€401.60
€419.56
+4.5%
8.8%€473.59€356.33€435.7516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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