Keppel Valuation

Is KEP1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KEP1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KEP1 (€4.55) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€3.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KEP1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KEP1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

KEP1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA24.1x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KEP1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KEP1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
INH INDUS Holding
7.8x12.5%€524.9m
MBB MBB
24.8x23.1%€601.4m
SIE Siemens
18.4x5.3%€146.4b
G1A GEA Group
18.4x7.3%€7.5b
KEP1 Keppel
15.6x11.6%€11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KEP1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KEP1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Industrials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a8.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KEP1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the European Industrials industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KEP1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KEP1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KEP1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KEP1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€4.55
€5.58
+22.7%
11.0%€6.44€4.21n/a12
Nov ’25€4.40
€5.58
+26.9%
11.0%€6.44€4.21n/a12
Oct ’25€4.64
€5.53
+19.2%
10.8%€6.25€4.20n/a12
Sep ’25€4.20
€5.52
+31.3%
10.8%€6.24€4.19n/a12
Aug ’25€4.42
€5.66
+28.1%
10.3%€6.24€4.19n/a11
Jul ’25€4.38
€5.62
+28.3%
10.2%€6.18€4.16n/a11
Jun ’25€4.54
€5.56
+22.5%
9.9%€6.18€4.15n/a11
May ’25€4.68
€5.56
+18.6%
9.9%€6.18€4.15n/a11
Apr ’25€5.00
€5.59
+11.7%
9.8%€6.22€4.18n/a11
Mar ’25€4.90
€5.59
+14.0%
9.8%€6.22€4.18n/a11
Feb ’25€4.86
€5.36
+10.2%
11.9%€6.26€4.16n/a11
Jan ’25€4.80
€5.39
+12.4%
11.4%€6.28€4.25n/a10
Dec ’24€4.68
€5.33
+13.9%
11.6%€6.26€4.23n/a10
Nov ’24€4.26
€5.22
+22.6%
13.5%€6.27€4.00€4.4011
Oct ’24€4.67
€5.26
+12.5%
13.5%€6.22€3.97€4.6411
Sep ’24€4.70
€5.26
+11.8%
13.5%€6.22€3.97€4.2011
Aug ’24€5.00
€5.26
+5.1%
13.5%€6.22€3.97€4.4211
Jul ’24€4.50
€4.91
+9.0%
16.7%€6.19€3.64€4.3811
Jun ’24€4.28
€4.91
+14.6%
16.7%€6.19€3.64€4.5411
May ’24€4.17
€4.91
+17.6%
16.7%€6.19€3.64€4.6811
Apr ’24€3.84
€5.01
+30.4%
24.7%€6.99€3.56€5.0010
Mar ’24€3.86
€5.33
+38.1%
28.1%€7.05€3.59€4.908
Feb ’24€5.25
€6.06
+15.3%
14.2%€7.09€4.07€4.869
Jan ’24€5.00
€6.06
+21.1%
14.2%€7.09€4.07€4.809
Dec ’23€5.40
€6.06
+12.1%
14.2%€7.09€4.07€4.689
Nov ’23€4.96
€5.97
+20.3%
15.7%€7.23€4.15€4.2610

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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