HMS Bergbau Valuation

Is HMU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HMU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HMU (€27.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€47.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HMU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HMU?

Key metric: As HMU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HMU. This is calculated by dividing HMU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HMU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.4x
Earnings€12.66m
Market Cap€131.77m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HMU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HMU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.1x
NWX Nordwest Handel
6.1xn/a€67.3m
ETE Ekotechnika
0.9xn/a€25.7m
0EK2 Ekotechnika
2.3xn/a€21.4m
NUC Nucletron Electronic
15xn/a€21.3m
HMU HMS Bergbau
10.4x8.0%€131.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HMU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the peer average (3.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HMU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HMU 10.4xIndustry Avg. 14.4xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HMU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HMU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HMU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.4x
Fair PE Ratio9.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HMU is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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