Haitian International Holdings Limited

DB:HI6 Stock Report

Market Cap: €4.5b

Haitian International Holdings Valuation

Is HI6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HI6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HI6 (€2.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€5.53)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HI6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HI6?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

HI6 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HI6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HI6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.6x
KRN Krones
17.7x15.2%€4.0b
G1A GEA Group
16.4x4.9%€6.6b
GIL DMG MORI
53.7xn/a€3.5b
RAA RATIONAL
42.4x8.1%€9.2b
HI6 Haitian International Holdings
14.1x12.0%€38.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HI6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HI6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HI6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HI6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HI6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HI6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HI6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.80
€3.14
+12.0%
7.5%€3.58€2.80n/a9
Apr ’25€2.62
€2.96
+12.8%
8.5%€3.30€2.50n/a9
Mar ’25€2.30
€2.66
+15.4%
11.9%€3.27€2.21n/a9
Feb ’25€2.06
€2.65
+28.5%
11.8%€3.26€2.20n/a9
Jan ’25€2.18
€2.61
+19.8%
10.2%€3.03€2.20n/a9
Dec ’24€2.30
€2.67
+15.9%
9.5%€3.07€2.29n/a9
Nov ’24€2.20
€2.67
+21.1%
9.5%€3.07€2.29n/a9
Oct ’24€1.94
€2.61
+34.7%
9.7%€3.03€2.25n/a9
Sep ’24€1.92
€2.58
+34.3%
10.9%€3.02€2.20n/a9
Aug ’24€2.18
€2.69
+23.2%
10.1%€3.20€2.32n/a10
Jul ’24€2.08
€2.73
+31.2%
9.6%€3.12€2.31n/a10
Jun ’24€2.10
€2.76
+31.3%
9.2%€3.17€2.36n/a10
May ’24€2.30
€2.83
+23.0%
7.4%€3.19€2.44n/a9
Apr ’24€2.32
€2.90
+25.1%
7.5%€3.26€2.50€2.629
Mar ’24€2.46
€2.92
+18.6%
11.3%€3.34€2.40€2.308
Feb ’24€2.70
€2.87
+6.3%
10.8%€3.30€2.37€2.068
Jan ’24€2.46
€2.75
+11.9%
8.1%€3.01€2.36€2.189
Dec ’23€2.60
€2.59
-0.5%
11.7%€3.00€2.02€2.309
Nov ’23€2.08
€2.68
+28.7%
11.9%€3.09€2.01€2.2010
Oct ’23€1.90
€2.74
+44.1%
12.2%€3.21€2.07€1.9410
Sep ’23€2.36
€2.72
+15.1%
12.0%€3.22€2.13€1.928
Aug ’23€2.24
€2.88
+28.4%
16.4%€3.59€2.11€2.189
Jul ’23€2.40
€2.76
+15.0%
18.0%€3.49€2.03€2.089
Jun ’23€2.36
€2.92
+23.9%
22.8%€4.24€2.01€2.109
May ’23€2.32
€2.95
+27.1%
21.0%€4.14€2.06€2.309
Apr ’23€2.32
€2.85
+23.0%
21.6%€4.09€2.03€2.329

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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