BlueLinx Holdings Valuation

Is FZG1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FZG1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FZG1 (€117) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€64.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FZG1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FZG1?

Key metric: As FZG1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FZG1. This is calculated by dividing FZG1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FZG1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36x
EarningsUS$29.72m
Market CapUS$1.03b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FZG1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FZG1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.7x
BNR Brenntag
16.1x15.6%€8.8b
NWX Nordwest Handel
6.1xn/a€67.3m
HMU HMS Bergbau
10.2x8.0%€129.0m
0EK2 Ekotechnika
2.3xn/a€21.4m
FZG1 BlueLinx Holdings
36x23.6%€1.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FZG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the peer average (8.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FZG1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FZG1 36.0xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FZG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FZG1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FZG1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36x
Fair PE Ratio18.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FZG1 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FZG1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€117.00
€124.58
+6.5%
0.6%€125.96€124.12n/a4
Nov ’25€99.50
€124.58
+25.2%
0.6%€125.96€124.12n/a4
Oct ’25€94.00
€121.39
+29.1%
0.6%€122.74€120.95n/a4
Sep ’25€89.50
€121.39
+35.6%
0.6%€122.74€120.95n/a4
Aug ’25€111.00
€118.99
+7.2%
11.1%€126.96€92.67n/a5
Jul ’25€83.00
€114.85
+38.4%
10.4%€125.85€93.22n/a5
Jun ’25€92.50
€114.85
+24.2%
10.4%€125.85€93.22n/a5
May ’25€104.00
€117.85
+13.3%
13.1%€134.68€93.53n/a4
Apr ’25€120.00
€117.18
-2.4%
11.7%€133.07€92.41n/a5
Mar ’25€117.00
€117.18
+0.2%
11.7%€133.07€92.41n/a5
Feb ’25€106.00
€95.85
-9.6%
12.1%€114.11€82.16n/a4
Jan ’25€104.00
€90.49
-13.0%
5.5%€96.22€82.48n/a4
Dec ’24€80.00
€90.49
+13.1%
5.5%€96.22€82.48n/a4
Nov ’24€72.00
€94.63
+31.4%
5.5%€99.36€85.17€99.505
Oct ’24€78.00
€94.13
+20.7%
2.4%€95.96€91.39€94.005
Sep ’24€81.50
€94.13
+15.5%
2.4%€95.96€91.39€89.505
Aug ’24€84.50
€95.15
+12.6%
2.7%€98.33€91.05€111.004
Jul ’24€86.50
€96.72
+11.8%
2.5%€99.87€92.47€83.005
Jun ’24€76.00
€96.72
+27.3%
2.5%€99.87€92.47€92.505
May ’24€63.00
€96.28
+52.8%
2.5%€99.41€92.05€104.005
Apr ’24€60.50
€96.28
+59.1%
2.5%€99.41€92.05€120.005
Mar ’24€79.00
€98.68
+24.9%
2.5%€101.89€94.34€117.005
Feb ’24€78.50
€99.77
+27.1%
6.6%€112.41€95.35€106.005
Jan ’24€67.00
€99.77
+48.9%
6.6%€112.41€95.35€104.005
Dec ’23€66.00
€99.77
+51.2%
6.6%€112.41€95.35€80.005
Nov ’23€70.50
€106.48
+51.0%
10.1%€124.75€98.23€72.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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