Thales Valuation
Is CSF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of CSF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: CSF (€142.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€318.9)
Significantly Below Fair Value: CSF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CSF?
Key metric: As CSF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is CSF's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 30.6x |
| Earnings | €953.30m |
| Market Cap | €29.13b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.3x |
| PEG Ratio | 1.5x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does CSF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 21x | ||
RHM Rheinmetall | 39.2x | 29.0% | €26.4b |
MTX MTU Aero Engines | 24.1x | 11.2% | €16.7b |
OHB OHB | 12.9x | 11.0% | €894.4m |
DTG Daimler Truck Holding | 8x | 11.6% | €28.6b |
CSF Thales | 30.6x | 20.1% | €29.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x) compared to the peer average (20.9x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does CSF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?
| 0 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is CSF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 30.6x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 25x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CSF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €142.20 | €176.00 +23.8% | 8.8% | €200.00 | €150.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Nov ’25 | €148.75 | €173.06 +16.3% | 7.6% | €193.00 | €150.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Oct ’25 | €144.15 | €172.56 +19.7% | 7.4% | €193.00 | €150.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Sep ’25 | €151.15 | €172.50 +14.1% | 7.1% | €193.00 | €150.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Aug ’25 | €147.15 | €171.00 +16.2% | 9.4% | €193.00 | €125.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Jul ’25 | €152.45 | €171.25 +12.3% | 9.8% | €195.00 | €125.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Jun ’25 | €167.10 | €168.19 +0.7% | 9.9% | €190.00 | €125.00 | n/a | 16 |
| May ’25 | €158.30 | €164.63 +4.0% | 9.6% | €190.00 | €125.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Apr ’25 | €158.15 | €159.69 +1.0% | 8.6% | €180.00 | €125.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Mar ’25 | €137.10 | €154.47 +12.7% | 8.8% | €180.00 | €115.00 | n/a | 17 |
| Feb ’25 | €135.05 | €155.94 +15.5% | 6.5% | €180.00 | €140.00 | n/a | 17 |
| Jan ’25 | €134.00 | €156.06 +16.5% | 6.1% | €175.00 | €145.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Dec ’24 | €138.65 | €155.25 +12.0% | 5.7% | €174.00 | €137.00 | n/a | 16 |
| Nov ’24 | €138.55 | €154.35 +11.4% | 5.0% | €166.00 | €137.00 | €148.75 | 17 |
| Oct ’24 | €133.95 | €153.00 +14.2% | 6.0% | €168.00 | €135.00 | €144.15 | 17 |
| Sep ’24 | €135.70 | €152.18 +12.1% | 5.9% | €165.00 | €135.00 | €151.15 | 17 |
| Aug ’24 | €135.50 | €152.24 +12.4% | 5.8% | €165.00 | €135.00 | €147.15 | 17 |
| Jul ’24 | €137.20 | €152.39 +11.1% | 6.1% | €169.00 | €135.00 | €152.45 | 18 |
| Jun ’24 | €131.95 | €150.71 +14.2% | 5.5% | €165.00 | €135.00 | €167.10 | 17 |
| May ’24 | €138.40 | €149.71 +8.2% | 5.6% | €160.00 | €135.00 | €158.30 | 17 |
| Apr ’24 | €136.95 | €148.38 +8.3% | 5.6% | €160.00 | €135.00 | €158.15 | 16 |
| Mar ’24 | €133.45 | €144.69 +8.4% | 6.0% | €160.00 | €134.00 | €137.10 | 16 |
| Feb ’24 | €121.20 | €143.13 +18.1% | 6.1% | €160.00 | €130.00 | €135.05 | 15 |
| Jan ’24 | €119.15 | €144.07 +20.9% | 5.3% | €160.00 | €135.00 | €134.00 | 14 |
| Dec ’23 | €120.10 | €144.07 +20.0% | 5.3% | €160.00 | €135.00 | €138.65 | 14 |
| Nov ’23 | €128.00 | €142.40 +11.3% | 5.8% | €160.00 | €125.00 | €138.55 | 15 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Stabilus
€822.5m
Engages in the manufacture and sale of gas springs, dampers, vibration isolation products, and electric tailgate opening and closing equipment in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North and South America, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
STM
€33.30
7D
-3.5%
1Y
-41.9%
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen
€279.4m
Manufactures, sells, and deals in printing presses and other print media industry products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas.
HDD
€0.92
7D
-3.0%
1Y
-26.4%
DAIHEN
JP¥172.3b
Manufactures and sells transformers, welding machines, and industrial and clean transport robots.
6NV
JP¥43.40
7D
3.3%
1Y
26.2%