Ceres Power Holdings plc

DB:CFJA Stock Report

Market Cap: €378.3m

Ceres Power Holdings Valuation

Is CFJA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFJA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CFJA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CFJA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFJA?

Key metric: As CFJA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CFJA. This is calculated by dividing CFJA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CFJA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio8x
SalesUK£39.16m
Market CapUK£314.37m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CFJA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CFJA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.3x
SGL SGL Carbon
0.5x6.9%€502.5m
CEA FRIWO
2.3xn/a€213.9m
F3C SFC Energy
2.1x20.0%€289.3m
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%€95.7m
CFJA Ceres Power Holdings
8x21.5%€314.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the peer average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CFJA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Electrical Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%US$99.64m
C0M Compleo Charging Solutions
0.1x27.6%US$15.58m
No more companies available in this PS range
CFJA 8.0xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies3PS00.81.62.43.24+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFJA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFJA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio8x
Fair PS Ratio3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFJA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.91
€4.99
+161.3%
50.3%€9.22€1.39n/a12
Nov ’25€2.32
€4.87
+110.1%
52.4%€9.14€1.37n/a12
Oct ’25€3.16
€5.18
+63.8%
47.7%€9.18€1.92n/a11
Sep ’25€2.14
€4.63
+115.8%
53.7%€8.96€1.46n/a12
Aug ’25€2.42
€4.59
+89.9%
52.3%€9.11€1.49n/a13
Jul ’25€2.07
€4.50
+117.0%
52.0%€9.01€1.47n/a13
Jun ’25€2.70
€4.54
+68.1%
49.7%€8.90€1.45n/a14
May ’25€2.00
€4.60
+129.6%
49.3%€8.87€1.45n/a14
Apr ’25€1.61
€4.77
+195.7%
50.3%€9.35€1.46n/a14
Mar ’25€1.94
€4.77
+146.4%
50.3%€9.35€1.46n/a14
Feb ’25€2.42
€5.26
+117.0%
44.5%€9.36€1.87n/a11
Jan ’25€2.18
€6.25
+187.0%
50.4%€11.84€2.33n/a11
Dec ’24€2.00
€6.64
+231.5%
49.9%€11.86€2.34n/a10
Nov ’24€2.30
€7.26
+215.8%
42.1%€11.88€2.30€2.3211
Oct ’24€3.56
€8.29
+133.0%
27.2%€11.94€5.08€3.1611
Sep ’24€3.86
€8.48
+119.7%
30.9%€13.35€4.27€2.1413
Aug ’24€4.15
€8.49
+104.8%
31.3%€13.31€4.26€2.4213
Jul ’24€3.48
€8.60
+147.5%
32.8%€13.79€4.20€2.0713
Jun ’24€3.42
€8.60
+151.5%
32.8%€13.79€4.20€2.7013
May ’24€3.96
€8.89
+124.5%
36.4%€14.68€4.12€2.0013
Apr ’24€4.47
€9.13
+104.0%
35.7%€14.79€4.15€1.6112
Mar ’24€4.84
€9.51
+96.2%
40.6%€17.53€4.10€1.9412
Feb ’24€5.44
€9.74
+79.1%
40.1%€17.70€4.14€2.4212
Jan ’24€3.91
€10.43
+166.6%
40.2%€17.76€4.16€2.1813
Dec ’23€4.50
€10.80
+140.1%
37.2%€18.04€4.22€2.0013
Nov ’23€3.91
€10.97
+180.4%
37.3%€17.88€4.18€2.3013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Nilfisk Holding

DKK 2.9b

Develops, manufactures, and sells cleaning solutions and services worldwide.

NF1

DKK 14.00

7D

-2.9%

1Y

-4.5%

Fuji Electric

JP¥1.2t

Develops power semiconductors and electronics solutions in Japan and internationally.

FJE

JP¥52.50

7D

1.0%

1Y

38.2%

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

€278.8m

Manufactures, sells, and deals in printing presses and other print media industry products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas.

HDD

€0.92

7D

-2.0%

1Y

-26.1%