Ceres Power Holdings plc

DB:CFJA Stock Report

Market Cap: €404.2m

Ceres Power Holdings Valuation

Is CFJA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFJA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CFJA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate CFJA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFJA?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

CFJA key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-4x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CFJA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CFJA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
VAR1 Varta
0.5x4.7%€399.3m
F3C SFC Energy
2.8x21.9%€328.5m
CEA FRIWO
1.7xn/a€191.6m
HNL Dr. Hönle
1.2x7.6%€120.3m
CFJA Ceres Power Holdings
15.5x24.9%€345.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.5x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFJA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Electrical Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a64.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.5x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (1.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFJA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFJA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio15.5x
Fair PS Ratio2.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CFJA is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (15.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFJA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.00
€4.64
+132.0%
49.3%€8.96€1.46n/a14
Apr ’25€1.61
€4.77
+195.7%
50.3%€9.35€1.46n/a14
Mar ’25€1.94
€4.77
+146.4%
50.3%€9.35€1.46n/a14
Feb ’25€2.42
€5.26
+117.0%
44.5%€9.36€1.87n/a11
Jan ’25€2.18
€6.25
+187.0%
50.4%€11.84€2.33n/a11
Dec ’24€2.00
€6.64
+231.5%
49.9%€11.86€2.34n/a10
Nov ’24€2.30
€7.26
+215.8%
42.1%€11.88€2.30n/a11
Oct ’24€3.56
€8.29
+133.0%
27.2%€11.94€5.08n/a11
Sep ’24€3.86
€8.48
+119.7%
30.9%€13.35€4.27n/a13
Aug ’24€4.15
€8.49
+104.8%
31.3%€13.31€4.26n/a13
Jul ’24€3.48
€8.60
+147.5%
32.8%€13.79€4.20n/a13
Jun ’24€3.42
€8.60
+151.5%
32.8%€13.79€4.20n/a13
May ’24€3.96
€8.89
+124.5%
36.4%€14.68€4.12€2.0013
Apr ’24€4.47
€9.13
+104.0%
35.7%€14.79€4.15€1.6112
Mar ’24€4.84
€9.51
+96.2%
40.6%€17.53€4.10€1.9412
Feb ’24€5.44
€9.74
+79.1%
40.1%€17.70€4.14€2.4212
Jan ’24€3.91
€10.43
+166.6%
40.2%€17.76€4.16€2.1813
Dec ’23€4.50
€10.80
+140.1%
37.2%€18.04€4.22€2.0013
Nov ’23€3.91
€10.97
+180.4%
37.3%€17.88€4.18€2.3013
Oct ’23€4.10
€12.18
+197.2%
32.0%€17.78€6.84€3.5612
Sep ’23€7.02
€14.84
+111.4%
32.6%€23.64€7.57€3.8611
Aug ’23€7.00
€15.22
+117.4%
34.3%€23.61€7.56€4.1511
Jul ’23€6.43
€14.97
+132.9%
34.8%€23.30€6.99€3.4811
Jun ’23€7.76
€15.02
+93.7%
35.3%€23.43€7.03€3.4211
May ’23€8.29
€15.72
+89.7%
34.5%€24.01€7.20€3.9611

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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