China State Construction International Holdings Limited

DB:C4S1 Stock Report

Market Cap: €6.4b

China State Construction International Holdings Valuation

Is C4S1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of C4S1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: C4S1 (€1.23) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: C4S1 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C4S1?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

C4S1 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.5x
PEG Ratio0.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does C4S1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for C4S1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.5x
HOT HOCHTIEF
14.5x11.1%€7.6b
G1A GEA Group
15.5x5.3%€6.3b
KGX KION GROUP
16.5x20.5%€5.6b
RAA RATIONAL
39.8x8.0%€8.8b
C4S1 China State Construction International Holdings
6x12.5%€54.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C4S1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the peer average (21.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does C4S1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a10.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C4S1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is C4S1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

C4S1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6x
Fair PE Ratio18.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: C4S1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst C4S1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.23
€1.50
+22.1%
9.9%€1.76€1.29n/a10
May ’25€0.96
€1.47
+53.0%
12.5%€1.79€1.26n/a11
Apr ’25€0.98
€1.49
+51.6%
13.0%€1.77€1.25n/a12
Mar ’25€1.01
€1.47
+45.7%
15.4%€1.77€1.08n/a13
Feb ’25€0.95
€1.45
+53.1%
15.1%€1.77€1.07n/a12
Jan ’25€1.02
€1.45
+41.8%
14.7%€1.75€1.06n/a12
Dec ’24€1.03
€1.50
+45.2%
14.2%€1.81€1.10n/a13
Nov ’24€0.97
€1.50
+54.2%
14.2%€1.81€1.10n/a13
Oct ’24€0.97
€1.53
+57.9%
13.1%€1.80€1.09n/a13
Sep ’24€1.00
€1.50
+50.1%
12.7%€1.77€1.07n/a14
Aug ’24€1.10
€1.48
+34.2%
14.5%€1.88€1.06n/a13
Jul ’24€1.03
€1.48
+43.3%
14.5%€1.88€1.06n/a13
Jun ’24€0.99
€1.50
+52.0%
14.2%€1.90€1.07€1.2013
May ’24€1.11
€1.48
+33.6%
14.2%€1.87€1.06€0.9613
Apr ’24€1.05
€1.52
+44.7%
14.0%€1.91€1.08€0.9813
Mar ’24€1.06
€1.49
+40.6%
15.0%€1.89€1.08€1.0113
Feb ’24€1.09
€1.44
+31.9%
16.0%€1.78€0.86€0.9513
Jan ’24€1.01
€1.49
+47.9%
17.4%€1.84€0.90€1.0211
Dec ’23€1.08
€1.55
+43.6%
17.0%€1.93€0.94€1.0311
Nov ’23€0.91
€1.55
+71.3%
17.0%€1.93€0.94€0.9711
Oct ’23€1.00
€1.56
+56.2%
14.9%€1.92€0.93€0.9711
Sep ’23€1.16
€1.56
+34.7%
14.9%€1.92€0.93€1.0011
Aug ’23€0.99
€1.42
+43.1%
15.2%€1.67€0.78€1.1012
Jul ’23€1.04
€1.42
+36.3%
15.2%€1.67€0.78€1.0312
Jun ’23€1.12
€1.42
+26.5%
15.2%€1.67€0.78€0.9912

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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