Brenntag Valuation

Is BNR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNR (€64.78) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€186.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNR?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BNR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
HOT HOCHTIEF
12x3.9%€8.3b
G1A GEA Group
18.7x7.1%€7.6b
RAA RATIONAL
44.8x7.5%€10.2b
KBX Knorr-Bremse
21.4x10.9%€12.8b
BNR Brenntag
15.6x12.6%€9.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (15.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€64.78
€79.35
+22.5%
11.0%€94.00€60.00n/a18
Oct ’25€67.36
€79.63
+18.2%
11.6%€99.00€60.00n/a18
Sep ’25€67.52
€79.85
+18.3%
11.5%€99.00€60.00n/a18
Aug ’25€65.86
€81.02
+23.0%
12.3%€104.00€60.00n/a18
Jul ’25€63.36
€82.27
+29.8%
10.1%€104.00€67.00n/a18
Jun ’25€65.58
€83.30
+27.0%
9.9%€104.00€67.00n/a18
May ’25€75.12
€86.30
+14.9%
11.0%€114.00€72.00n/a18
Apr ’25€78.28
€87.11
+11.3%
11.0%€114.00€72.00n/a18
Mar ’25€86.66
€86.52
-0.2%
10.7%€105.00€70.00n/a17
Feb ’25€81.76
€86.55
+5.9%
10.4%€105.00€70.00n/a18
Jan ’25€82.92
€84.77
+2.2%
8.8%€99.00€70.00n/a18
Dec ’24€79.00
€84.66
+7.2%
9.4%€99.00€70.00n/a18
Nov ’24€70.28
€85.08
+21.1%
10.1%€99.00€71.00n/a18
Oct ’24€73.44
€85.97
+17.1%
10.5%€99.00€71.00€67.3618
Sep ’24€74.94
€85.86
+14.6%
11.0%€99.00€66.00€67.5218
Aug ’24€70.00
€86.56
+23.7%
11.6%€100.00€66.00€65.8617
Jul ’24€70.94
€87.85
+23.8%
10.3%€100.00€73.00€63.3617
Jun ’24€74.02
€87.85
+18.7%
10.3%€100.00€73.00€65.5817
May ’24€73.14
€87.56
+19.7%
9.7%€100.00€73.00€75.1217
Apr ’24€69.06
€87.26
+26.4%
10.1%€100.00€73.00€78.2817
Mar ’24€71.64
€87.21
+21.7%
10.5%€100.00€73.00€86.6617
Feb ’24€68.26
€86.09
+26.1%
12.0%€100.00€65.00€81.7616
Jan ’24€59.72
€88.50
+48.2%
12.9%€101.00€65.00€82.9215
Dec ’23€61.00
€87.25
+43.0%
13.2%€101.00€65.00€79.0016
Nov ’23€61.62
€89.13
+44.6%
11.7%€105.00€65.00€70.2816
Oct ’23€60.98
€94.69
+55.3%
7.5%€105.00€82.00€73.4416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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