Atkore Valuation

Is AOA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AOA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AOA (€86.68) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€64.16)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AOA is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AOA?

Key metric: As AOA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AOA. This is calculated by dividing AOA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AOA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.7x
EarningsUS$466.74m
Market CapUS$3.13b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AOA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AOA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.8x
SGL SGL Carbon
7.3x17.7%€497.0m
OSR OSRAM Licht
81.3xn/a€4.8b
F3C SFC Energy
12.8x4.2%€297.6m
NDX1 Nordex
126x63.7%€2.8b
AOA Atkore
6.7x-28.7%€3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AOA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the peer average (56.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AOA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AOA 6.7xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AOA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (16.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AOA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AOA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.7x
Fair PE Ratio7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AOA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AOA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€86.68
€97.31
+12.3%
11.3%€110.43€80.67n/a6
Nov ’25€78.06
€112.34
+43.9%
12.2%€128.39€90.79n/a6
Oct ’25€76.00
€111.98
+47.3%
10.5%€125.41€88.68n/a6
Sep ’25€83.22
€118.22
+42.1%
14.4%€145.50€90.03n/a6
Aug ’25€124.30
€165.05
+32.8%
7.0%€182.88€146.30n/a6
Jul ’25€123.75
€177.76
+43.6%
3.0%€186.14€170.32n/a5
Jun ’25€137.70
€177.76
+29.1%
3.0%€186.14€170.32n/a5
May ’25€168.45
€185.49
+10.1%
4.6%€199.00€174.60n/a5
Apr ’25€170.10
€173.96
+2.3%
4.1%€185.26€163.03n/a5
Mar ’25€154.70
€173.96
+12.4%
4.1%€185.26€163.03n/a5
Feb ’25€139.40
€167.79
+20.4%
5.6%€182.58€155.19n/a5
Jan ’25€144.60
€165.58
+14.5%
7.3%€182.76€148.95n/a5
Dec ’24€123.00
€165.58
+34.6%
7.3%€182.76€148.95n/a5
Nov ’24€116.80
€162.12
+38.8%
5.4%€169.41€148.46€78.065
Oct ’24€141.50
€162.12
+14.6%
5.4%€169.41€148.46€76.005
Sep ’24€140.20
€162.12
+15.6%
5.4%€169.41€148.46€83.225
Aug ’24€145.10
€153.18
+5.6%
5.8%€166.11€142.77€124.305
Jul ’24€144.10
€153.50
+6.5%
5.6%€169.44€145.63€123.755
Jun ’24€107.70
€153.50
+42.5%
5.6%€169.44€145.63€137.705
May ’24€114.70
€155.59
+35.6%
6.2%€169.52€142.94€168.455
Apr ’24€125.90
€155.59
+23.6%
6.2%€169.52€142.94€170.105
Mar ’24€140.10
€155.59
+11.1%
6.2%€169.52€142.94€154.705
Feb ’24€122.30
€142.01
+16.1%
10.4%€159.30€122.89€139.405
Jan ’24€104.75
€139.60
+33.3%
9.8%€164.62€126.99€144.605
Dec ’23€115.10
€139.85
+21.5%
14.6%€169.37€113.23€123.004
Nov ’23€95.44
€117.49
+23.1%
12.8%€134.94€95.37€116.805

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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