Amada Valuation

Is AA2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AA2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AA2 (€8.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AA2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AA2?

Key metric: As AA2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AA2. This is calculated by dividing AA2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AA2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.6x
EarningsJP¥35.99b
Market CapJP¥490.96b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AA2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AA2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
KRN Krones
14.7x16.2%€3.7b
GIL DMG MORI
22.2xn/a€3.6b
DUE Dürr
17.9x28.4%€1.5b
PFV Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology
24.6xn/a€1.5b
AA2 Amada
13.6x6.6%€491.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AA2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
AA2 13.6xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AA2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AA2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.6x
Fair PE Ratio14.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AA2 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AA2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.95
€10.89
+21.7%
8.3%€12.22€9.77n/a7
Nov ’25€8.90
€11.14
+25.2%
8.3%€12.50€10.00n/a7
Oct ’25€9.20
€11.14
+21.1%
8.3%€12.50€10.00n/a7
Sep ’25€9.15
€12.00
+31.2%
9.4%€14.06€10.27n/a6
Aug ’25€10.30
€11.56
+12.2%
7.4%€13.35€10.74n/a6
Jul ’25€10.50
€11.56
+10.1%
7.4%€13.35€10.74n/a6
Jun ’25€10.30
€11.74
+14.0%
8.2%€13.57€10.91n/a5
May ’25€10.20
€11.60
+13.7%
12.8%€14.19€9.87n/a5
Apr ’25€10.40
€11.60
+11.6%
12.8%€14.19€9.87n/a5
Mar ’25€10.30
€11.60
+12.6%
12.8%€14.19€9.87n/a5
Feb ’25€10.10
€11.25
+11.4%
9.6%€12.25€9.67n/a4
Jan ’25€9.30
€11.25
+21.0%
9.6%€12.25€9.67n/a4
Dec ’24€9.45
€11.38
+20.4%
12.8%€13.63€9.30n/a5
Nov ’24€9.20
€11.08
+20.4%
15.3%€13.93€9.49€8.905
Oct ’24€9.45
€11.08
+17.2%
15.3%€13.93€9.49€9.205
Sep ’24€9.80
€10.06
+2.6%
20.9%€13.91€8.22€9.155
Aug ’24€8.95
€9.63
+7.6%
15.2%€12.20€8.34€10.305
Jul ’24€8.80
€9.16
+4.1%
17.9%€12.14€7.03€10.506
Jun ’24€8.75
€9.03
+3.2%
18.8%€12.63€7.31€10.307
May ’24€8.30
€8.92
+7.5%
13.5%€11.09€7.63€10.207
Apr ’24€8.35
€8.86
+6.1%
14.2%€11.07€7.26€10.407
Mar ’24€8.50
€8.86
+4.2%
14.2%€11.07€7.26€10.307
Feb ’24€7.95
€8.85
+11.3%
13.9%€11.56€7.59€10.107
Jan ’24€7.15
€8.36
+17.0%
14.0%€11.10€7.28€9.307
Dec ’23€7.55
€8.30
+9.9%
14.0%€11.00€7.22€9.457
Nov ’23€7.00
€8.71
+24.4%
19.8%€11.67€6.87€9.207

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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