Nachi-Fujikoshi Valuation

Is 8UM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 8UM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 8UM (€19.4) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€18.71)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 8UM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 8UM?

Key metric: As 8UM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 8UM. This is calculated by dividing 8UM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 8UM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.1x
EarningsJP¥2.95b
Market CapJP¥73.84b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 8UM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 8UM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.4x
WSU WashTec
18.1x13.7%€513.9m
NOEJ NORMA Group
16.3x36.4%€382.3m
MUB Mühlbauer Holding
16.3xn/a€522.3m
SLT Schaltbau Holding
139.2xn/a€638.4m
8UM Nachi-Fujikoshi
25.1x30.4%€73.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 8UM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the peer average (47.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 8UM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
8UM 25.1xIndustry Avg. 14.7xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 8UM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 8UM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

8UM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 8UM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 8UM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.40
€19.66
+1.4%
0.5%€19.76€19.57n/a2
Nov ’25€19.00
€19.66
+3.5%
0.5%€19.76€19.57n/a2
Oct ’25€19.20
€19.60
+2.1%
0.5%€19.69€19.51n/a2
Sep ’25€18.80
€19.60
+4.3%
0.5%€19.69€19.51n/a2
Aug ’25€19.80
€22.67
+14.5%
16.2%€26.35€18.99n/a2
Jul ’25€20.00
€22.94
+14.7%
17.0%€26.84€19.03n/a2
Jun ’25€20.20
€22.94
+13.6%
17.0%€26.84€19.03n/a2
May ’25€20.00
€22.94
+14.7%
17.0%€26.84€19.03n/a2
Apr ’25€20.80
€23.54
+13.2%
17.0%€27.55€19.53n/a2
Mar ’25€20.80
€23.54
+13.2%
17.0%€27.55€19.53n/a2
Feb ’25€21.40
€23.54
+10.0%
17.0%€27.55€19.53n/a2
Jan ’25€23.20
€28.36
+22.3%
1.0%€28.65€28.08n/a2
Dec ’24€23.20
€28.36
+22.3%
1.0%€28.65€28.08n/a2
Nov ’24€23.80
€28.36
+19.2%
1.0%€28.65€28.08€19.002
Oct ’24€25.20
€28.06
+11.3%
1.0%€28.34€27.77€19.202
Sep ’24€25.40
€31.12
+22.5%
10.2%€34.29€27.94€18.802
Aug ’24€24.00
€31.12
+29.7%
10.2%€34.29€27.94€19.802
Jul ’24€25.60
€29.99
+17.1%
12.3%€36.15€26.78€20.004
Jun ’24€25.20
€29.99
+19.0%
12.3%€36.15€26.78€20.204
May ’24€25.60
€31.68
+23.7%
12.5%€38.40€28.44€20.004
Apr ’24€27.00
€31.68
+17.3%
12.5%€38.40€28.44€20.804
Mar ’24€27.40
€31.68
+15.6%
12.5%€38.40€28.44€20.804
Feb ’24€27.00
€33.08
+22.5%
10.3%€38.17€29.12€21.404
Jan ’24€25.40
€31.65
+24.6%
8.5%€35.37€29.06€23.203
Dec ’23€27.00
€31.82
+17.8%
8.0%€34.90€28.67€23.203
Nov ’23€26.40
€31.73
+20.2%
8.2%€34.85€28.49€23.803

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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