Rocket Lab USA Valuation

Is 6RJ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 6RJ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 6RJ (€7.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€24.72)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 6RJ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 6RJ?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

6RJ key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue13.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA-31.9x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 6RJ's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 6RJ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
5UH Hensoldt
1.8x13.4%€3.5b
MTX MTU Aero Engines
2.7x11.9%€15.2b
RHM Rheinmetall
2.8x20.3%€22.4b
OHB OHB
0.8x14.4%€857.8m
6RJ Rocket Lab USA
14.8x29.7%€4.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 6RJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.8x) compared to the peer average (2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 6RJ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 6RJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.8x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 6RJ's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

6RJ PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio14.8x
Fair PS Ratio1.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 6RJ is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (14.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 6RJ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.86
€6.92
-12.0%
26.3%€9.94€4.07n/a11
Sep ’25€5.50
€6.71
+21.9%
23.4%€9.08€4.09n/a11
Aug ’25€4.71
€6.61
+40.3%
25.6%€9.18€4.13n/a11
Jul ’25€4.32
€6.79
+57.1%
26.6%€9.31€3.96n/a11
Jun ’25€3.83
€6.96
+81.8%
23.9%€9.20€3.91n/a10
May ’25€3.52
€7.31
+108.0%
24.9%€9.23€3.92n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
€7.38
0%
23.0%€9.23€4.61n/a10
Mar ’25n/a
€7.38
0%
23.0%€9.23€4.61n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
€7.52
0%
19.9%€9.26€5.55n/a8
Jan ’25n/a
€7.22
0%
25.8%€9.13€4.56n/a9
Dec ’24n/a
€7.22
0%
25.8%€9.13€4.56n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
€8.08
0%
27.0%€11.37€4.74n/a9
Oct ’24n/a
€8.66
0%
29.2%€13.33€4.76€8.308
Sep ’24n/a
€8.96
0%
21.1%€12.76€6.15€5.508
Aug ’24n/a
€8.42
0%
30.2%€12.66€4.11€4.718
Jul ’24n/a
€8.35
0%
32.4%€13.06€4.25€4.328
Jun ’24n/a
€8.35
0%
32.4%€13.06€4.25€3.838
May ’24n/a
€7.65
0%
39.7%€11.85€2.28€3.529
Apr ’24n/a
€8.74
0%
35.4%€12.18€2.34n/a9
Mar ’24n/a
€8.99
0%
35.3%€12.19€2.34n/a9
Feb ’24n/a
€9.24
0%
35.9%€14.06€2.81n/a9
Jan ’24n/a
€9.24
0%
35.9%€14.06€2.81n/a9
Dec ’23n/a
€9.66
0%
36.6%€14.53€2.91n/a9
Nov ’23n/a
€12.30
0%
41.9%€20.60€3.09n/a9
Oct ’23n/a
€13.48
0%
31.5%€20.64€6.71n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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