China Conch Venture Holdings Limited

DB:68C Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.2b

China Conch Venture Holdings Valuation

Is 68C undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 68C when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 68C (€0.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€0.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 68C is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 68C?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

68C key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.8x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 68C's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 68C vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average30.7x
NCH2 thyssenkrupp nucera KGaA
89.8x39.1%€1.5b
HOT HOCHTIEF
14.2x9.9%€7.4b
WAC Wacker Neuson
6.2x-3.3%€1.1b
MBH3 Maschinenfabrik Berthold Hermle
12.7xn/a€1.1b
68C China Conch Venture Holdings
3.8x5.4%€10.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 68C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (30.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 68C's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 68C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 68C's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

68C PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.8x
Fair PE Ratio15.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 68C is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 68C forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.65
€0.94
+44.9%
16.9%€1.18€0.75n/a4
Apr ’25€0.61
€1.00
+62.9%
20.9%€1.20€0.67n/a4
Mar ’25€0.85
€1.26
+48.0%
36.8%€2.03€0.82n/a4
Feb ’25€0.69
€1.69
+146.0%
43.1%€2.57€0.82n/a6
Jan ’25€0.71
€1.77
+147.5%
37.8%€2.60€0.99n/a6
Dec ’24€0.72
€1.77
+144.1%
37.8%€2.60€0.99n/a6
Nov ’24€0.75
€1.76
+134.8%
37.9%€2.60€0.99n/a6
Oct ’24€0.78
€1.76
+125.7%
37.9%€2.60€0.99n/a6
Sep ’24€0.86
€2.50
+188.9%
48.5%€5.00€1.17n/a6
Aug ’24€1.05
€2.60
+147.9%
46.0%€5.02€1.18n/a6
Jul ’24€1.14
€2.76
+142.5%
37.7%€5.01€1.77n/a6
Jun ’24€1.13
€2.41
+113.7%
13.4%€2.75€1.85n/a5
May ’24€1.50
€2.41
+61.0%
13.4%€2.75€1.85n/a5
Apr ’24€1.53
€2.98
+94.5%
13.0%€3.38€2.34€0.614
Mar ’24€1.84
€3.03
+64.8%
13.3%€3.41€2.35€0.854
Feb ’24€1.91
€3.50
+83.3%
28.9%€5.39€2.35€0.695
Jan ’24€1.94
€3.54
+82.2%
28.9%€5.41€2.32€0.715
Dec ’23€2.02
€3.54
+75.0%
28.9%€5.41€2.32€0.725
Nov ’23€1.50
€3.57
+138.2%
29.3%€5.50€2.36€0.755
Oct ’23€1.52
€3.63
+138.7%
25.6%€5.29€2.46€0.785
Sep ’23€1.97
€3.96
+101.0%
23.8%€5.45€2.53€0.865
Aug ’23€1.80
€3.96
+120.0%
23.8%€5.45€2.53€1.055
Jul ’23€1.99
€3.80
+91.2%
23.9%€5.26€2.44€1.145
Jun ’23€2.30
€3.96
+72.3%
14.9%€4.84€3.28€1.136
May ’23€2.36
€4.30
+82.3%
14.7%€4.99€3.36€1.506
Apr ’23€2.46
€4.59
+86.5%
21.9%€6.52€3.36€1.537

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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