Costain Group Valuation

Is 5JY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5JY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 5JY (€1.27) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 5JY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5JY?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

5JY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA3.8x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 5JY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 5JY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.8x
B5A BAUER
30.4x38.2%€171.7m
HOT HOCHTIEF
11.9x2.9%€8.7b
3SQ1 AHT Syngas Technology
36.5xn/a€32.8m
NOEJ NORMA Group
16.6x36.4%€398.9m
5JY Costain Group
9.6x13.0%€293.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 5JY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 5JY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a9.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 5JY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5JY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5JY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.6x
Fair PE Ratio13x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 5JY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5JY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€1.27
€1.41
+10.7%
9.3%€1.62€1.26n/a4
Nov ’25€1.21
€1.41
+16.2%
9.3%€1.62€1.26n/a4
Oct ’25€1.13
€1.41
+24.4%
9.3%€1.62€1.26n/a4
Sep ’25€1.19
€1.40
+17.3%
9.3%€1.60€1.25n/a4
Aug ’25€0.98
€1.10
+12.0%
9.6%€1.21€0.93n/a4
Jul ’25€0.98
€1.10
+12.0%
9.6%€1.21€0.93n/a4
Jun ’25€1.00
€1.10
+10.3%
9.6%€1.21€0.93n/a4
May ’25€0.93
€1.08
+16.1%
14.3%€1.22€0.82n/a4
Apr ’25€0.84
€1.08
+28.5%
14.3%€1.22€0.82n/a4
Mar ’25€0.69
€0.98
+43.1%
22.5%€1.19€0.64n/a4
Feb ’25€0.77
€0.98
+27.3%
22.5%€1.19€0.64n/a4
Jan ’25€0.72
€0.98
+36.2%
22.5%€1.19€0.64n/a4
Dec ’24€0.71
€0.98
+37.1%
22.5%€1.19€0.64n/a4
Nov ’24€0.56
€0.98
+76.6%
22.5%€1.19€0.64€1.214
Oct ’24€0.63
€0.98
+56.9%
22.5%€1.19€0.64€1.134
Sep ’24€0.65
€0.85
+30.9%
27.3%€1.19€0.58€1.194
Aug ’24€0.55
€0.85
+56.5%
27.3%€1.19€0.58€0.984
Jul ’24€0.51
€0.85
+66.0%
26.9%€1.18€0.58€0.984
Jun ’24€0.57
€0.83
+46.3%
26.9%€1.16€0.57€1.004
May ’24€0.65
€0.83
+26.9%
26.9%€1.15€0.57€0.934
Apr ’24€0.59
€0.83
+38.7%
26.9%€1.15€0.57€0.844
Mar ’24€0.48
€0.74
+54.1%
30.1%€0.99€0.46€0.694
Feb ’24€0.50
€0.74
+47.9%
30.1%€0.99€0.46€0.774
Jan ’24€0.43
€0.74
+72.8%
30.1%€0.99€0.46€0.724
Dec ’23€0.46
€0.74
+61.5%
30.1%€0.99€0.46€0.714
Nov ’23€0.38
€0.74
+92.6%
30.1%€0.99€0.46€0.564

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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