Orion Energy Systems, Inc.

DB:5A4 Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.5m

Orion Energy Systems Valuation

Is 5A4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 5A4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 5A4's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 5A4's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 5A4?

Key metric: As 5A4 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 5A4. This is calculated by dividing 5A4's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 5A4's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesUS$91.65m
Market CapUS$26.76m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 5A4's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 5A4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
CY1K SBF
0.6x9.0%€24.8m
HNL Dr. Hönle
0.5x6.8%€51.5m
VBX Voltabox
2.9xn/a€21.8m
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%€89.9m
5A4 Orion Energy Systems
0.3x15.5%€26.8m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 5A4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 5A4's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VAR1 Varta
0.1x4.3%US$94.22m
C0M Compleo Charging Solutions
0.1x27.6%US$15.58m
LMIA LION E-Mobility
0.2x29.5%US$8.94m
No more companies available in this PS range
5A4 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies3PS012345+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 5A4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 5A4's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

5A4 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 5A4 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 5A4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€0.77
€2.32
+202.7%
20.0%€2.78€1.85n/a2
Nov ’25€0.84
€2.29
+172.7%
20.0%€2.75€1.83n/a2
Oct ’25€0.72
€2.29
+218.1%
20.0%€2.75€1.83n/a2
Sep ’25€0.74
€2.29
+207.4%
20.0%€2.75€1.83n/a2
Aug ’25€0.94
€2.31
+144.9%
20.0%€2.78€1.85n/a2
Jul ’25€0.98
€2.31
+135.0%
20.0%€2.78€1.85n/a2
Jun ’25€0.82
€2.32
+182.9%
20.0%€2.78€1.86n/a2
May ’25€0.78
€2.32
+197.4%
20.0%€2.78€1.86n/a2
Apr ’25€0.81
€2.32
+188.2%
20.0%€2.78€1.86n/a2
Mar ’25€0.86
€2.32
+169.8%
20.0%€2.78€1.86n/a2
Feb ’25€0.93
€4.14
+345.3%
55.6%€6.44€1.84n/a2
Jan ’25€0.79
€4.58
+483.9%
40.0%€6.42€2.75n/a2
Dec ’24€0.81
€4.58
+469.4%
40.0%€6.42€2.75n/a2
Nov ’24€0.92
€3.65
+299.3%
54.0%€6.39€1.83€0.843
Oct ’24€1.23
€3.65
+197.1%
54.0%€6.39€1.83€0.723
Sep ’24€1.38
€3.65
+164.8%
54.0%€6.39€1.83€0.743
Aug ’24€1.46
€3.74
+156.1%
54.0%€6.54€1.87€0.943
Jul ’24€1.43
€3.74
+161.5%
54.0%€6.54€1.87€0.983
Jun ’24€1.36
€3.73
+174.0%
54.0%€6.52€1.86€0.823
May ’24€1.43
€3.73
+160.6%
54.0%€6.52€1.86€0.783
Apr ’24€1.84
€3.73
+102.5%
54.0%€6.52€1.86€0.813
Mar ’24€1.90
€3.73
+96.1%
54.0%€6.52€1.86€0.863
Feb ’24€1.50
€3.67
+144.9%
54.0%€6.43€1.84€0.933
Jan ’24€1.63
€4.30
+163.9%
47.4%€6.95€1.99€0.793
Dec ’23€1.99
€4.30
+116.2%
47.4%€6.95€1.99€0.813
Nov ’23€1.70
€4.45
+161.8%
47.4%€7.19€2.05€0.923

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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