Groupe OKwind Société anonyme

DB:4QX Stock Report

Market Cap: €42.7m

Groupe OKwind Société anonyme Valuation

Is 4QX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 4QX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 4QX (€5.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 4QX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 4QX?

Key metric: As 4QX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 4QX. This is calculated by dividing 4QX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 4QX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
Earnings€4.51m
Market Cap€42.71m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 4QX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 4QX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
F3C SFC Energy
12.4x4.2%€289.3m
SGL SGL Carbon
7.3x17.7%€502.5m
MSAG MS Industrie
23.6x45.1%€39.9m
3SQ1 AHT Syngas Technology
34.2xn/a€31.1m
4QX Groupe OKwind Société anonyme
9.5x28.0%€42.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 4QX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 4QX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Electrical Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
4QX 9.5xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 4QX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the European Electrical industry average (16.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 4QX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

4QX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio14.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 4QX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 4QX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.09
€8.50
+67.0%
17.6%€10.00€7.00n/a2
Nov ’25€5.51
€8.50
+54.3%
17.6%€10.00€7.00n/a2
Oct ’25€11.46
€20.75
+81.1%
22.9%€25.50€16.00n/a2
Sep ’25€12.28
€20.75
+69.0%
22.9%€25.50€16.00n/a2
Aug ’25€12.94
€20.75
+60.4%
22.9%€25.50€16.00n/a2
Jul ’25€17.98
€30.30
+68.5%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
Jun ’25€19.40
€30.30
+56.2%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
May ’25€19.26
€30.30
+57.3%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
Apr ’25€19.95
€30.30
+51.9%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
Mar ’25€19.50
€30.30
+55.4%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
Feb ’25€19.10
€30.30
+58.6%
4.3%€31.60€29.00n/a2
Apr ’24€19.85
€23.10
+16.4%
17.7%€27.20€19.00€19.952
Mar ’24€21.70
€23.10
+6.5%
17.7%€27.20€19.00€19.502
Feb ’24€14.90
€23.10
+55.0%
17.7%€27.20€19.00€19.102
Jan ’24€13.30
€19.50
+46.6%
2.6%€20.00€19.00€19.252
Dec ’23€13.45
€19.50
+45.0%
2.6%€20.00€19.00€20.102
Nov ’23€13.40
€19.50
+45.5%
2.6%€20.00€19.00€20.902

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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