Fincantieri S.p.A.

DB:1F80 Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.8b

Fincantieri Valuation

Is 1F80 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1F80 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 1F80 (€5.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1F80 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1F80?

Key metric: As 1F80 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1F80. This is calculated by dividing 1F80's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1F80's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
Sales€7.46b
Market Cap€1.84b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1F80's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1F80 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
R3NK RENK Group
1.9x12.5%€2.0b
JUN3 Jungheinrich
0.4x4.5%€2.4b
KGX KION GROUP
0.4x2.7%€4.3b
WAC Wacker Neuson
0.4x5.9%€886.9m
1F80 Fincantieri
0.2x7.2%€1.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1F80 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1F80's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the DE Machinery Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HDD Heidelberger Druckmaschinen
0.1x4.3%US$290.30m
SKB Koenig & Bauer
0.1x4.8%US$192.04m
SF3 STS Group
0.08x4.2%US$24.18m
GRF Greiffenberger
0.07xn/aUS$4.30m
1F80 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies12PS00.61.21.82.43+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1F80 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the German Machinery industry average (0.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1F80's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1F80 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ratio0.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 1F80 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1F80 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€5.68
€6.03
+6.3%
11.0%€7.20€5.00n/a7
Nov ’25€5.10
€5.80
+13.8%
8.4%€6.50€5.00n/a7
Oct ’25€4.64
€5.57
+20.2%
15.9%€6.50€3.70n/a7
Sep ’25€5.03
€5.67
+12.7%
16.3%€6.50€3.70n/a6
Aug ’25€5.12
€5.70
+11.4%
16.2%€6.50€3.70n/a6
Jul ’25€4.70
€5.22
+11.1%
19.0%€6.22€3.70n/a5
Jun ’25€6.01
€5.85
-2.7%
5.1%€6.20€5.40n/a4
May ’25€7.05
€5.82
-17.4%
4.7%€6.20€5.40n/a5
Apr ’25€6.55
€5.82
-11.1%
4.7%€6.20€5.40n/a5
Mar ’25€4.78
€5.35
+11.9%
4.7%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Feb ’25€4.79
€5.25
+9.6%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Jan ’25€5.46
€5.25
-3.8%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Dec ’24€5.46
€5.25
-3.8%
5.5%€5.70€5.00n/a4
Nov ’24€4.96
€5.25
+6.0%
5.5%€5.70€5.00€5.104
Oct ’24€4.63
€5.10
+10.2%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€4.645
Sep ’24€5.02
€5.10
+1.6%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.035
Aug ’24€5.18
€5.10
-1.5%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.125
Jul ’24€5.02
€4.98
-0.9%
9.1%€5.70€4.50€4.704
Jun ’24€5.20
€4.98
-4.3%
9.1%€5.70€4.50€6.014
May ’24€5.48
€4.96
-9.5%
6.9%€5.50€4.50€7.055
Apr ’24€5.83
€4.96
-14.8%
6.9%€5.50€4.50€6.555
Mar ’24€5.96
€5.18
-13.2%
6.0%€5.70€4.90€4.784
Feb ’24€6.01
€5.04
-16.1%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€4.795
Jan ’24€5.24
€5.04
-3.7%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.465
Dec ’23€5.54
€5.04
-8.9%
7.7%€5.70€4.50€5.465
Nov ’23€5.14
€5.18
+0.8%
8.6%€5.80€4.50€4.965

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

Discover undervalued companies

Andritz

€5.2b

Provides plants, equipment, and services for pulp and paper industry, metalworking and steel industries, hydropower stations, and solid/liquid separation in the municipal and industrial sectors in Europe, North America, South America, China, Asia, and internationally.

AZ2

€51.75

7D

-0.4%

1Y

6.7%

Fuji Electric

JP¥1.2t

Develops power semiconductors and electronics solutions in Japan and internationally.

FJE

JP¥52.50

7D

1.0%

1Y

38.2%

Heidelberger Druckmaschinen

€278.8m

Manufactures, sells, and deals in printing presses and other print media industry products in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and the Americas.

HDD

€0.92

7D

-2.0%

1Y

-26.1%