Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.

DB:0QL0 Stock Report

Market Cap: €170.7m

Virgin Galactic Holdings Valuation

Is 0QL0 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QL0 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QL0 (€8.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€78.55)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QL0 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QL0?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0QL0 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenuen/a
Enterprise Value/EBITDAn/a
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QL0's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0QL0 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.1x
FQT Frequentis
1x8.1%€417.7m
M0YN Mynaric
16.6x40.9%€89.4m
OHB OHB
0.8x13.8%€852.1m
5UH Hensoldt
2.1x13.7%€3.9b
0QL0 Virgin Galactic Holdings
21.4x58.9%€182.6m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0QL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (21.4x) compared to the peer average (5.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QL0's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a30.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0QL0 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (21.4x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QL0's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QL0 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio21.4x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0QL0's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QL0 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€8.20
€40.84
+398.1%
54.5%€74.82€14.03n/a6
Jun ’25€16.15
€42.64
+164.0%
49.5%€74.16€13.91n/a7
May ’25€15.99
€49.01
+206.5%
45.9%€92.26€18.45n/a8
Apr ’25€26.80
€50.89
+89.9%
40.4%€92.52€32.38n/a8
Mar ’25€31.80
€50.89
+60.0%
40.4%€92.52€32.38n/a8
Feb ’25€33.50
€53.58
+59.9%
39.2%€91.20€31.92n/a8
Jan ’25€44.00
€49.37
+12.2%
48.9%€91.85€18.37n/a8
Dec ’24€40.40
€49.37
+22.2%
48.9%€91.85€18.37n/a8
Nov ’24€27.40
€82.62
+201.5%
48.1%€151.07€18.88n/a8
Oct ’24€33.80
€80.77
+139.0%
39.6%€145.39€54.52n/a9
Sep ’24€48.00
€80.77
+68.3%
39.6%€145.39€54.52n/a9
Aug ’24€75.40
€81.80
+8.5%
40.3%€147.42€55.28n/a9
Jul ’24€72.60
€81.80
+12.7%
40.3%€147.42€55.28n/a9
Jun ’24€70.00
€81.80
+16.9%
40.3%€147.42€55.28€16.159
May ’24€62.10
€82.86
+33.4%
48.0%€165.73€46.04€15.999
Apr ’24€75.40
€91.38
+21.2%
41.8%€169.58€47.11€26.8010
Mar ’24€90.40
€93.79
+3.8%
37.9%€168.82€56.27€31.8010
Feb ’24€103.60
€92.66
-10.6%
45.1%€203.85€55.60€33.5011
Jan ’24€62.80
€114.28
+82.0%
50.5%€232.44€58.11€44.0010
Dec ’23€96.60
€114.28
+18.3%
50.5%€232.44€58.11€40.4010
Nov ’23€95.60
€142.18
+48.7%
51.8%€288.48€66.97€27.4010
Oct ’23€99.40
€156.51
+57.5%
49.2%€278.74€64.71€33.809
Sep ’23€115.60
€162.41
+40.5%
44.5%€277.48€64.42€48.009
Aug ’23€140.40
€194.65
+38.6%
36.7%€318.69€79.67€75.4011
Jul ’23€110.80
€186.98
+68.8%
37.3%€303.30€75.82€72.6011
Jun ’23€128.40
€186.27
+45.1%
35.6%€299.39€93.56€70.0011

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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