Lockheed Martin Corporation

XTRA:LOM Stock Report

Market Cap: €126.2b

Lockheed Martin Valuation

Is LOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOM (€528.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€768.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LOM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.7x
PEG Ratio10.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.8x
RHM Rheinmetall
36.2x28.6%€24.9b
MTX MTU Aero Engines
23.5x10.4%€16.7b
SIE Siemens
17.5x5.3%€139.7b
OHB OHB
14x12.5%€878.9m
LOM Lockheed Martin
19.8x2.0%€134.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the peer average (22.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.1x
Fair PE Ratio19.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€528.50
€558.29
+5.6%
11.4%€651.06€401.36n/a21
Nov ’25€503.50
€558.29
+10.9%
11.4%€651.06€401.36n/a21
Oct ’25€546.90
€503.97
-7.8%
10.7%€635.99€365.88n/a20
Sep ’25€510.90
€488.44
-4.4%
9.0%€567.37€361.87n/a20
Aug ’25€505.00
€495.79
-1.8%
8.8%€586.42€374.02n/a20
Jul ’25€435.35
€456.68
+4.9%
7.2%€508.49€352.03n/a19
Jun ’25€426.20
€453.35
+6.4%
7.1%€506.36€350.56n/a19
May ’25€435.60
€456.06
+4.7%
6.8%€510.40€353.35n/a21
Apr ’25€420.60
€445.50
+5.9%
6.8%€503.74€350.59n/a22
Mar ’25€392.40
€449.06
+14.4%
6.9%€511.39€353.32n/a22
Feb ’25€396.20
€446.77
+12.8%
6.9%€507.82€350.85n/a22
Jan ’25€407.60
€441.84
+8.4%
8.2%€503.80€333.42n/a21
Dec ’24€413.50
€454.16
+9.8%
8.3%€519.70€343.94n/a21
Nov ’24€431.00
€454.16
+5.4%
8.3%€519.70€343.94€503.5021
Oct ’24€386.60
€472.32
+22.2%
8.4%€528.30€356.01€546.9021
Sep ’24€417.70
€456.26
+9.2%
8.1%€507.21€341.80€510.9020
Aug ’24€409.80
€449.49
+9.7%
8.1%€498.89€336.19€505.0020
Jul ’24€419.50
€470.66
+12.2%
9.3%€541.77€347.14€435.3520
Jun ’24€417.40
€470.66
+12.8%
9.3%€541.77€347.14€426.2020
May ’24€420.90
€472.98
+12.4%
14.8%€711.05€338.20€435.6020
Apr ’24€435.90
€468.19
+7.4%
15.6%€721.45€311.32€420.6020
Mar ’24€444.45
€468.19
+5.3%
15.6%€721.45€311.32€392.4020
Feb ’24€422.85
€452.60
+7.0%
16.3%€704.57€304.04€396.2020
Jan ’24€455.30
€469.32
+3.1%
15.6%€715.43€361.96€407.6020
Dec ’23€459.45
€447.07
-2.7%
10.4%€528.22€346.70€413.5018
Nov ’23€494.40
€462.10
-6.5%
9.7%€516.85€362.30€431.0018

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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