Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Krones AG (ETR:KRN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Krones's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Krones had €4.00m of debt in September 2023, down from €5.10m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has €288.8m in cash, leading to a €284.8m net cash position.
How Strong Is Krones' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Krones had liabilities of €2.18b due within 12 months and liabilities of €373.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €288.8m in cash and €1.78b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €483.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Krones shares are worth a total of €3.43b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Krones boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Krones has boosted its EBIT by 39%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Krones's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Krones may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Krones actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Summing Up
Although Krones's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of €284.8m. The cherry on top was that in converted 143% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €64m. So we don't think Krones's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Krones you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KRN
Krones
Engages in the planning, development, and manufacture of machines and lines for the production, filling, and packaging technology in Germany and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.