Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Krones AG (ETR:KRN) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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How Much Debt Does Krones Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Krones had €3.40m of debt in March 2024, down from €4.70m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds €442.1m in cash, so it actually has €438.7m net cash.
How Strong Is Krones' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Krones had liabilities of €2.51b due within a year, and liabilities of €429.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €442.1m in cash and €1.89b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €608.7m.
Since publicly traded Krones shares are worth a total of €4.02b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Krones also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
But the bad news is that Krones has seen its EBIT plunge 15% in the last twelve months. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Krones can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Krones has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Krones generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing Up
While Krones does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €438.7m. The cherry on top was that in converted 83% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €171m. So we don't have any problem with Krones's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Krones , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About XTRA:KRN
Krones
Engages in the planning, development, and manufacture of machines and lines for the production, filling, and packaging technology in Germany and internationally.
Very undervalued with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.