Stock Analysis

Is Krones (ETR:KRN) A Risky Investment?

XTRA:KRN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Krones AG (ETR:KRN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Krones's Debt?

As you can see below, Krones had €2.30m of debt at March 2025, down from €3.40m a year prior. But it also has €592.0m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €589.7m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
XTRA:KRN Debt to Equity History June 29th 2025

How Healthy Is Krones' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Krones had liabilities of €2.49b due within 12 months, and liabilities of €437.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had €592.0m in cash and €1.96b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €380.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Krones has a market capitalization of €4.42b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Krones also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Check out our latest analysis for Krones

In addition to that, we're happy to report that Krones has boosted its EBIT by 32%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Krones's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Krones has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Krones produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 65% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

We could understand if investors are concerned about Krones's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of €589.7m. And we liked the look of last year's 32% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Krones's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Krones you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Krones might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About XTRA:KRN

Krones

Engages in the planning, development, and manufacture of machines and lines for the production, filling, and packaging technology for the food and beverage industry in Germany and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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