KION GROUP AG's (ETR:KGX) 27% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
KION GROUP AG (ETR:KGX) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 27% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, KION GROUP may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25x, since almost half of all companies in Germany have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 10x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
KION GROUP could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Check out our latest analysis for KION GROUP
Is There Enough Growth For KION GROUP?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like KION GROUP's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 60% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 42% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 16% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that KION GROUP's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From KION GROUP's P/E?
KION GROUP's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of KION GROUP's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for KION GROUP (1 is significant) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KION GROUP, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KION GROUP might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About XTRA:KGX
KION GROUP
Provides industrial trucks and supply chain solutions in Western and Eastern Europe, the Middle East, Africa, North America, Central and South America, China, and the rest of the Asia Pacific.
Good value average dividend payer.
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